Is there anything here?

Is there anything here?

New Zealand physicist Sean Gourley claims to have found an underlying pattern in the structure of insurgencies that he thinks explains what is going on in Iraq.

My gut feeling is he has nothing. But then I never got very far in math. But if you did, and you have seven minutes, please take a look at this video and let me know what you think.

(HT, and congratulations, to Daniel Whitaker Wagner)