Stephen M. Walt

Flying Down to Rio

Flying Down to Rio

Now that the flap over Syria has been settled (not really…), I guess it’s safe for me to get back on the road. Translated: I’m off to Brazil this evening to give a series of lectures at Fundação Getulio Vargas in Rio de Janeiro and Sao Paulo. It is my first visit to Brazil, and I’m looking forward to seeing these two cities and hearing what the Brazilians think about Obama, U.S. foreign policy, the NSA (!), and the future of world politics (among other things). Blogging will be sporadic at best until I return next week.

As for Syria, one should not be churlish and cavil about the possibility of a diplomatic breakthrough that gets Obama and Kerry out of the corner they painted themselves into. The path by which we got here wasn’t pretty, but as Lefty Gomez said, "I’d rather be lucky than good." Or as Bismarck famously noted, there’s a special providence that "looks after drunkards, fools, and the United States of America." We’ve some ways to go before the chemical weapons issue is resolved, of course, and this is at best a first step toward ending the grinding civil war in Syria, but realists take what we can get in this imperfect world. Right now, this deal looks better than bombing Syria to no good purpose or having Congress in visible revolt against Obama’s handling of the whole matter.