To believe or not to believe

That is the question after reading this Ha’aretz report: Al-Qaida have possessed tactical nuclear weapons for about six years, the London-based Al-Hayat newspaper reported Sunday. The Arabic daily reported that sources close to Al-Qaida said Osama bin Laden’s group bought the nuclear weapons from Ukrainian scientists who were visiting Kandahar, Afghanistan, in 1998. The report ...

By , a professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University and co-host of the Space the Nation podcast.

That is the question after reading this Ha'aretz report:

That is the question after reading this Ha’aretz report:

Al-Qaida have possessed tactical nuclear weapons for about six years, the London-based Al-Hayat newspaper reported Sunday. The Arabic daily reported that sources close to Al-Qaida said Osama bin Laden’s group bought the nuclear weapons from Ukrainian scientists who were visiting Kandahar, Afghanistan, in 1998. The report has not been confirmed. However, the sources said Al-Qaida doesn’t intend to use the weapons against American forces in Muslim countries, “due to the serious damage” it could cause. But that decision is subject to change, the sources said, if Al-Qaida “is dealt a serious blow that won’t leave it any room to maneuver.” The possibility of detonating the nuclear devices on American soil was also raised in the report, although no details were given.

My first thought is that I find it hard to believe. If Al Qaeda had these weapons for six years, there would have been at least an attempt to detonate one inside the United States. Here’s another thought — maybe, “as the operational power of Al Qaeda appears diminished” according to the New York Times, this is a propaganda effort to rally support among regional terrorist groups? Greg Djerejian has similar thoughts, but with more vivid phrasing.

Daniel W. Drezner is a professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University and co-host of the Space the Nation podcast. Twitter: @dandrezner

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