IRELAND CLINGS TO TOP GLOBAL SPOT

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
February 24, 2004
Washington, DC

Contact: Nick Cosky
Tel: 202-939-2367
ncosky@ceip.org

Contact: Helen Kensick, A.T. Kearney
Tel: 312-223-7266
helen.kensick@atkearney.com

IRELAND CLINGS TO TOP GLOBAL SPOT

Global economic integration weakens, but person-to-person contact and technology keep globalization going, says fourth annual Globalization Index

Ireland ranks as the worlds most global nation for the third year in a row, according to the fourth annual A.T. Kearney/FOREIGN POLICY Magazine Globalization Index released today. Amidst a faltering global economy, Ireland maintained strong economic links and high levels of personal contact to the rest of the world, helping it hold onto the top spot even as many countries saw their globalization scores slip.

This years index shows that globalization survived considerable challenges in 2002, the last year for which complete annual data is available. Economic integration dropped to the lowest levels since 1998, reflecting slow economic growth in many regions as well as the effects of heightened travel alerts, stringent security at ports and airports, corporate scandals, financial market fallout from Argentinas economic unraveling, and jarring terrorist attacks in Indonesia and Kenya. However, noneconomic drivers of global integrationfrom travel to telephone trafficmaintained their forward momentum, making the world more integrated at the end of 2002 than ever before.

The A.T. Kearney/FOREIGN POLICY Globalization Index measures economic, person-to-person, political, and technological integration in 62 countries, accounting for 96 percent of the worlds gross domestic product (GDP) and 84 percent of the worlds population.

THE GLOBAL TOP 20

1. Ireland 6. Canada 11. Sweden 16. Portugal 2. Singapore 7. United States 12. United Kingdom 17. Norway 3. Switzerland 8. New Zealand 13. Australia 18. Germany 4. Netherlands 9. Austria 14. Czech Republic 19. Slovenia 5. Finland 10. Denmark 15. France 20. Malaysia

GLOBALIZATION IN RETREAT?
Several factors suggested that globalization was in retreat in 2002the first full year after the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacksfrom a major dockworker strike in California to controversial tariff measures designed to protect U.S. steel producers, and resulting tensions between the United States and its global trade partners. Overall, trade volumes expanded slightly despite these roadblocks, but global economic integration declined sharply overall.

Foreign direct investment (FDI) flows, already down about 40 percent in 2001, slid another 20 percent to $651 billionthe lowest level in five years. The United States and United Kingdom accounted for nearly half the drop, but the trend was felt worldwide, with FDI inflows dropping in two thirds of the countries covered. Global portfolio capital flows also contracted; stock market losses in the United States, Germany, and Brazil erased wealth and risk aversion grew in the wake of Argentinas economic meltdown.

TECHNOLOGY, TELEPHONE TRAFFIC, AND TOURISM TRUMP ECONOMICS
Nevertheless, other factors helped deepen globalization during the year, including person-to-person contact and rapidly expanding Internet use. With 22 million more people traveling across international borders, global travel and tourism bounced back from the previous yearwhen it declined for the first time since World War II. Asia showed some of the strongest gains, with China alone attracting 36.8 million visitors to rank among the five most popular destinations (prior to the SARS outbreak in early 2003).

International connections via telephone and the Internet also grew in 2002in part because they offered substitutes for being there in an era of increased travel safety concerns. International telephone traffic rose by 15 billion minutes to total more than 21 minutes per person. Many of these calls were from mobile phones, which outnumbered fixed-line telephone connections for the first time in 2002 and allowed subscribers in many developing countries to leapfrog outmoded fixed-line infrastructure.

More than 130 million new Internet users came online in 2002, bringing the world total to more than 620 million9.9 percent of total world population, up from only 8.1 percent the year before. The number of users in developing regions rose 40 percent, three times faster than in developed countries. In China, the number rose 75 percent in 2002; in Brazil, 78.5 percent; and in India, 136 percent. Even in the Middle East, one of the worlds least wired regions, Internet use jumped by 116 percent in 2002.

OTHER FINDINGS ON HEALTH, RELIGION, AND WOMENS WELL BEING
This years index explores whether globalization challenges traditional values, marginalizes women, and undermines the social systems and other conditions required for healthy lives, as some critics claim. In fact, results show that the most global nations are also those in which people live the longest, healthiest lives and where women enjoy the strongest social, educational and economic progress. At the same time, globalization appears to have little impact on religious participation. For example, two of the most global countries, Ireland and the United States, also rank among the most devout.

These findings complement results from earlier years showing that, on par, the most global countries are also those with the most equal income distribution patterns, the most inclusive political systems, the lowest corruption, and the best records of environmental protection.

REGIONAL HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE 2004 GLOBALIZATION INDEX
North America ranked as the worlds most globalized region for the first time, outpacing Western Europe, which saw overall scores slip for the second year in a row. Technological expansion helped push the United States up four slots to seventh place, just behind sixth placed Canada. The United States had the worlds largest absolute number of Internet hostsnearly 12.5 times more than second-place Japanand the largest absolute number of Internet users, at 155 million.

Despite declining scores, Western Europe claimed 6 out of the 10 most globally integrated countries in this years index. At 29th place, Japan was the most global country in East Asia. The country was among the top financial donors to international aid and international peacekeeping missions and made its first overseas deployment of peacekeeping personnel in East Timor.

In the developing world, Southeast Asia again ranked as the most globally integrated region, with Singapore and Malaysia placing among the worlds 20 most globalized countries (and the first and second place countries in trade). Central and Eastern Europe registered strong gains and was among the few world regions to see levels of economic integration deepen. FDI to the region surged by 19 percent as countries liberalized in preparation for European Union accession, and companies looked for low-cost production platforms for the European market.

China experienced impressive growth in exports and FDIsurpassing the United States to become the worlds top investment destinationbut fell four spots, in part due to its poor performance in political integration. Even as it gained prominence as a preferred choice for information technology outsourcing, India ranked next-to-last, as slowing global markets and persistent ethnic violence trimmed trade, investment, and overall growth.

The Middle East did not fare well in this years results, with all countries except Tunisia dropping in the rankings. The region continued to struggle with steady declines in export performance and extremely low levels of political integration, in addition to high population growth, double-digit unemployment, poorly diversified economies, and a heavy reliance on oil.

The full text of the 2004 Globalization Index and its findingsincluding
full rankings, supplemental information, charts, and data downloadscan be found at
foreignpolicy.com and www.atkearney.com.

ABOUT THE GLOBALIZATION INDEX

The A.T. Kearney/FOREIGN POLICY Globalization Index ranks 62 countries representing 84 percent of the worlds population, based on 14 variables grouped in four categories: economic integration, personal contact, technology, and political engagement. The index quantifies economic integration by combining data on trade, foreign direct investment, portfolio capital flows, and income payments and receipts. Technological connectedness is gauged by counting Internet users, Internet hosts, and secure servers. Political engagement is assessed by taking stock of the number of international organizations and U.N. Security Council missions in which each country participates and the number of foreign embassies that each country hosts. Personal contact is charted by looking at a countrys international travel and tourism, international telephone traffic, and cross-border transfers, including remittances.

About A.T. Kearney
A.T. Kearney (www.atkearney.com) is one of the worlds largest management consulting firms. With a global presence that includes more than 60 offices in 37 countries, spanning major and emerging markets, A.T. Kearney provides strategic, operational, organizational, and technology consulting, and executive search services to the worlds leading companies. A.T. Kearney is the high-value management consulting subsidiary of global services leader EDS.

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