Stephen Flynn scares me — again

Two months after the September 11th attacks, I heard Stephen Flynn give a talk about homeland security and American vulnerabilities — and he scared the crap out of me. Listening to Flynn — a former Coast Guard commander — describe the various soft spots of America’s infrastructure was to realize just how much 9/11 required ...

By , a professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University and co-host of the Space the Nation podcast.

Two months after the September 11th attacks, I heard Stephen Flynn give a talk about homeland security and American vulnerabilities -- and he scared the crap out of me. Listening to Flynn -- a former Coast Guard commander -- describe the various soft spots of America's infrastructure was to realize just how much 9/11 required a rethink of how America defends itself. Flynn wasn't defeatist during his talk, he just laid out what needed to be done. And it was a long list. Two and a half years later, Flynn has written a book, America the Vulnerable: How Our Government Is Failing to Protect Us from Terrorism -- and what he's saying still scares the crap out of me. There's an excerpt in this week's Time:

Two months after the September 11th attacks, I heard Stephen Flynn give a talk about homeland security and American vulnerabilities — and he scared the crap out of me. Listening to Flynn — a former Coast Guard commander — describe the various soft spots of America’s infrastructure was to realize just how much 9/11 required a rethink of how America defends itself. Flynn wasn’t defeatist during his talk, he just laid out what needed to be done. And it was a long list. Two and a half years later, Flynn has written a book, America the Vulnerable: How Our Government Is Failing to Protect Us from Terrorism — and what he’s saying still scares the crap out of me. There’s an excerpt in this week’s Time:

The U.S. has no rival when it comes to projecting its military, economic and cultural power around the world. But we are practically defenseless at home. In 2002 alone, more than 400 million people, 122 million cars, 11 million trucks, 2.4 million rail freight cars, approximately 8 million maritime containers and 56,596 vessels entered the U.S. at more than 3,700 terminals and 301 ports of entry. In general, frontline agents have only a matter of seconds to make a go/no-go decision on whether to allow entry: 30 seconds for people and one minute for vehicles. And then there are the 7,000 miles of land borders and 95,000 miles of shoreline, which provide ample opportunities to walk, swim or sail into the nation. Official estimates place the number of illegal migrants living in America at 7 million. Given these immense numbers, it is a sense of futility, fueled by the lack of vision about what sensible measures are worth pursuing, that lies at the heart of our national inertia on the homeland-security issue.

And then there’s this excerpt of the book quoted in yesterday’s Meet the Press:

From water and food supplies; refineries, energy grids, and pipelines; bridges, tunnels, trains, trucks, and cargo containers; to the cyber backbone that underpins the information age in which we live, the measures we have been cobbling together are hardly fit to deter amateur thieves, vandals, and hackers, never mind determined terrorists. Worse still, small improvements are often oversold as giant steps forward, lowering the guard of average citizens as they carry on their daily routine with an unwarranted sense of confidence.

Later on Russert asks, “But on a scale of 0 to 100 percent, how well protected are we right now?” Flynn’s sobering reply: Well, if I would put it maybe on a 1-to-10 scale here, where 1 were a bull’s-eye and 10 were secure, we were 1 on 9/11. Today we’re a 3. That’s why I’m sort of saying that we’re still failing. I just can’t give a passing grade.

I have nothing to add to Flynn’s observations — except to say you should buy the book. Again, if I was John Kerry, I would bash Bush again and again and again on this front. Reviewing the Senator’s own proposals, however, I’m thoroughly underwhelmed. There’s a recognition of the importance of port security, but nothing else about protecting critical infrastructure (and, it should be noted, port security is actually one of the unheralded initiatives of the current administration). Most of Kerry’s proposals focus on emergency response rather than prevention. UPDATE: Many of the commenters seem to feel we should embrace the Israeli paradigm when it comes to security — which is ironic, because Flynn disdains the Israeli approach in favor of the British approach.

Daniel W. Drezner is a professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University and co-host of the Space the Nation podcast. Twitter: @dandrezner

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