Morning Brief, Tuesday, August 15

Cease-fire in Lebanon So, who won? Everybody is weighing in – and disagreeing. Nasrallah claims Hezbollah has won. Olmert says Israel won. Syria's Assad praises Hezbollah's victory. Bush does the same for Israel.  In the meantime, refugees stream back into southern Lebanon, where Nasrallah promises to compensate thousands of families whose homes have been destroyed. ...

Cease-fire in Lebanon

Cease-fire in Lebanon

So, who won? Everybody is weighing in – and disagreeing. Nasrallah claims Hezbollah has won. Olmert says Israel won. Syria's Assad praises Hezbollah's victory. Bush does the same for Israel

In the meantime, refugees stream back into southern Lebanon, where Nasrallah promises to compensate thousands of families whose homes have been destroyed. It could be weeks before a multinational force is on the ground to police the cease-fire.

In Israel, columnist Ze'ev Schiff writes that the conflict witnessed some Israeli achievements, but not enough. There are even arguments that the conflict proves Israel is a failed state. Richard Cohen in the WaPo takes on those critics, and doesn't like the new Middle East he sees emerging.

One item to watch: Israel's beleaguered Army Chief of Staff Dan Halutz is being called to resign for insider dealing regarding a stock sale on the first day of the war.  

Airline terror plot

Evidence, officials assert, points to an al Qaeda link. More news of the money trail back to Pakistan. Richard Posner is in the WaPo calling for a U.S. MI5

Elsewhere

Under pressure, Iraq's Sunni speaker of parliament may step down. The U.S. accuses Iran of arming and funding Shiite militias in Iraq. And the U.S. Army is extending tours of homebound soldiers. 

After accusations of doctored photos, Cuba broadcasts a 10 minute video of Fidel from his hospital bed. Election protests in Mexico turn violent.  

Amid more pomp and circumstance than usual, Japan's PM Koizumi visits the controversial Yasukuni war shrine.  

Indian PM Singh warns Pakistan to take more steps to reign in terrorists or the peace process between the two countries will be undermined. 

Germany's birth rate, the lowest in Europe, takes another dive. And an American health professor announces that the number of overweight people in the world now exceeds the number of hungry.  

Carolyn O'Hara is a senior editor at Foreign Policy.

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