Cook predicts a Democratic landslide

Respected political analyst Charlie Cook now predicts that, barring some unforeseen cataclysmic event, the election three weeks from now will be: one of those once- or twice-in-a-generation elections." Cook says that Republican Senators Mike DeWine (Ohio), Conrad Burns (Montana), and Rick Santorum (Pennsylvania) should all start packing their bags. And he has his doubts about Jim Talent ...

Respected political analyst Charlie Cook now predicts that, barring some unforeseen cataclysmic event, the election three weeks from now will be:

Respected political analyst Charlie Cook now predicts that, barring some unforeseen cataclysmic event, the election three weeks from now will be:

one of those once- or twice-in-a-generation elections."

Cook says that Republican Senators Mike DeWine (Ohio), Conrad Burns (Montana), and Rick Santorum (Pennsylvania) should all start packing their bags. And he has his doubts about Jim Talent in Missouri, George Allen in Virginia, and John Kyl in Arizona.

[T]he Senate looks most likely to reflect a five- or six-seat gain for Democrats, putting the chamber at 50-50 or giving Democrats a hair-thin 51-49 majority," Cook concludes.

In the House, Cook says 50 seats are now up for grabs, and 25 to 30 could go to the Dems. North Korea's nuke test, Cook reminds us, should serve as a warning that some external event could change all of this. But with 21 days and counting, the Republicans' clock may be running out.

More from Foreign Policy

Vladimir Putin speaks during the Preliminary Draw of the 2018 FIFA World Cup in Russia at The Konstantin Palace on July 25, 2015 in Saint Petersburg, Russia.
Vladimir Putin speaks during the Preliminary Draw of the 2018 FIFA World Cup in Russia at The Konstantin Palace on July 25, 2015 in Saint Petersburg, Russia.

What Putin Got Right

The Russian president got many things wrong about invading Ukraine—but not everything.

Dmitry Medvedev (center in the group of officials), an ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin who is now deputy chairman of the country's security council, visits the Omsktransmash (Omsk transport machine factory) in the southern Siberian city of Omsk.
Dmitry Medvedev (center in the group of officials), an ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin who is now deputy chairman of the country's security council, visits the Omsktransmash (Omsk transport machine factory) in the southern Siberian city of Omsk.

Russia Has Already Lost in the Long Run

Even if Moscow holds onto territory, the war has wrecked its future.

Sri Lankan construction workers along a road in Colombo.
Sri Lankan construction workers along a road in Colombo.

China’s Belt and Road to Nowhere

Xi Jinping’s signature foreign policy is a “shadow of its former self.”

Dalton speaks while sitting at a table alongside other U.S. officials.
Dalton speaks while sitting at a table alongside other U.S. officials.

The U.S. Overreacted to the Chinese Spy Balloon. That Scares Me.

So unused to being challenged, the United States has become so filled with anxiety over China that sober responses are becoming nearly impossible.