That’s some powerful biofuels agreement

Peter Baker reports in the Washington Post that the United States and Brazil have announced a new biofuels initiative: President Bush announced a new energy partnership with Brazil on Friday to promote wider production of ethanol throughout the region as an alternative to oil, the first step in an effort to strengthen economic and political ...

By , a professor of international politics at the Fletcher School at Tufts University and the author of The Ideas Industry.

Peter Baker reports in the Washington Post that the United States and Brazil have announced a new biofuels initiative: President Bush announced a new energy partnership with Brazil on Friday to promote wider production of ethanol throughout the region as an alternative to oil, the first step in an effort to strengthen economic and political alliances in Latin America. The agreement, reached as Bush kicked off a six-day tour of the region, was crafted to expand research, share technology, stimulate new investment and develop common international standards for biofuels. The United States and Brazil, which make 70 percent of the world's ethanol, will team up to encourage other nations to produce and consume alternative fuels, starting in Central America and the Caribbean. The new alliance could serve not only to help meet Bush's promise to reduce U.S. gasoline consumption but also to diminish the influence of Venezuelan President Hugo Ch?vez, the fiery leftist who has used his country's vast oil reserves to build support among neighbors. Analysts have called it the beginning of a new OPEC-style cartel for ethanol makers, a characterization U.S. officials dispute because they say they want to expand, not control, production. Sounds pretty ambitious... until we get to this snippet of this New York Times story by Jim Rutenberg and Larry Rother: [D]espite the agreement, some strains were visible between Mr. da Silva and Mr. Bush. Mr. da Silva is hopeful that the United States will reduce its tariff of 54 cents a gallon on Brazilian ethanol, which is made primarily from sugar cane ? a trade barrier that protects the American farmers who produce corn for ethanol. But when Mr. da Silva was asked about the possibility of eliminating the tariff, Mr. Bush jumped in. ?It?s not going to happen,? he said, noting that it is congressionally mandated through his term. Mr. da Silva joked: ?If I had that capacity for persuasion that you think I might have, who knows? I might have convinced President Bush to do so many other things that I couldn?t even mention here.? You can read more in the White House transcipt of Bush and Lula's press conference. It contains this accurate Lula summary of the state of play in the Doha talks: I learned from my Minister, Celso Amorim, that if we draw a triangle, we could show you what the difficulties are in the negotiations we have. What do countries want from the European Union? They want it to facilitate access to their agricultural market for poorer countries to export to them, including the U.S. wants to export to them. What do we want from the U.S.? We want them to reduce subsidies that they pay in their domestic market. And what does the U.S. and the European Union, what do they want from us Brazilians and other countries in the G20? That we have greater flexibility and access to markets for industrial products and services. That's what's at stake. That's what's in the game. If we are intelligent enough and competent enough to pull out of our vest pockets the numbers that are still held secret, as top state secrets, then we will find a common ground. Don't ask me what the number is. If I knew, I wouldn't tell you, because if I knew, then I'd establish a paradigm, and he'd say that I should back off a little bit. So that's why these numbers are held back, though, as a soccer player, when they're going to kick a penalty goal, they never say which corner they're going to try to kick into. But things are happening. They're underway.

Peter Baker reports in the Washington Post that the United States and Brazil have announced a new biofuels initiative:

President Bush announced a new energy partnership with Brazil on Friday to promote wider production of ethanol throughout the region as an alternative to oil, the first step in an effort to strengthen economic and political alliances in Latin America. The agreement, reached as Bush kicked off a six-day tour of the region, was crafted to expand research, share technology, stimulate new investment and develop common international standards for biofuels. The United States and Brazil, which make 70 percent of the world’s ethanol, will team up to encourage other nations to produce and consume alternative fuels, starting in Central America and the Caribbean. The new alliance could serve not only to help meet Bush’s promise to reduce U.S. gasoline consumption but also to diminish the influence of Venezuelan President Hugo Ch?vez, the fiery leftist who has used his country’s vast oil reserves to build support among neighbors. Analysts have called it the beginning of a new OPEC-style cartel for ethanol makers, a characterization U.S. officials dispute because they say they want to expand, not control, production.

Sounds pretty ambitious… until we get to this snippet of this New York Times story by Jim Rutenberg and Larry Rother:

[D]espite the agreement, some strains were visible between Mr. da Silva and Mr. Bush. Mr. da Silva is hopeful that the United States will reduce its tariff of 54 cents a gallon on Brazilian ethanol, which is made primarily from sugar cane ? a trade barrier that protects the American farmers who produce corn for ethanol. But when Mr. da Silva was asked about the possibility of eliminating the tariff, Mr. Bush jumped in. ?It?s not going to happen,? he said, noting that it is congressionally mandated through his term. Mr. da Silva joked: ?If I had that capacity for persuasion that you think I might have, who knows? I might have convinced President Bush to do so many other things that I couldn?t even mention here.?

You can read more in the White House transcipt of Bush and Lula’s press conference. It contains this accurate Lula summary of the state of play in the Doha talks:

I learned from my Minister, Celso Amorim, that if we draw a triangle, we could show you what the difficulties are in the negotiations we have. What do countries want from the European Union? They want it to facilitate access to their agricultural market for poorer countries to export to them, including the U.S. wants to export to them. What do we want from the U.S.? We want them to reduce subsidies that they pay in their domestic market. And what does the U.S. and the European Union, what do they want from us Brazilians and other countries in the G20? That we have greater flexibility and access to markets for industrial products and services. That’s what’s at stake. That’s what’s in the game. If we are intelligent enough and competent enough to pull out of our vest pockets the numbers that are still held secret, as top state secrets, then we will find a common ground. Don’t ask me what the number is. If I knew, I wouldn’t tell you, because if I knew, then I’d establish a paradigm, and he’d say that I should back off a little bit. So that’s why these numbers are held back, though, as a soccer player, when they’re going to kick a penalty goal, they never say which corner they’re going to try to kick into. But things are happening. They’re underway.

Daniel W. Drezner is a professor of international politics at the Fletcher School at Tufts University and the author of The Ideas Industry. Twitter: @dandrezner

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