Danny on Manny

This baseball season, I’ve been trying to figure out if the 2008 Red Sox were going to be like the 2007 team (which would have been awesome), the 2005 team (good but the pitching wasn’t quite there) or the 2006 team (superficially good but one step away from falling off a cliff).  After the big ...

By , a professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University and co-host of the Space the Nation podcast.

This baseball season, I've been trying to figure out if the 2008 Red Sox were going to be like the 2007 team (which would have been awesome), the 2005 team (good but the pitching wasn't quite there) or the 2006 team (superficially good but one step away from falling off a cliff).  After the big Manny Ramirez trade, however, I can now add 2004 to the possible list of teams -- scuffling team goes on a big-time tear after trading away a talented malcontent.  I love this tidbit from Nick Cafardo:  "Ramirez was asleep when the trade went down [at 4 PM!!--DD] and didn't know about it for a couple hours later."  Seth Mnookin has a good Soxfan rundown of the pros and cons of the trade.  I'll add four points: If ESPN's Steve Phillips thinks the trade was a loser for the Red Sox but Baseball Prospectus' Joe Sheehan and Christina Kahrl think it's a winner, then I'll sleep well tonight.  In his tick-tock on the trade, Gordon Edes wrote:  "Management had taken an informal poll of the club's veteran leaders; what it was hearing was that [Red Sox Manager] Francona was in danger of losing the clubhouse if Ramírez was allowed to continue in the same vein, begging off from playing because of injuries teammates privately questioned, obsessing on his contract, playing hard when the mood suited him."  You know what?  Francona has been so underestimated as a manager of modern-day baseball, I'm actually willing to say that I'd trade not winning the World Series this year if it meant Francona was hale and hearty enough to manage the next five years.  As Edes' story suggests, I think trading Manny did just that.  At lot of fans think the ownership of the team were "enablers" of Manny.  I think the Red Sox's calculation for years has been that while they wished Manny had given them max effort all the time, 90% effort from a transcendent player was better than 100% from most other players.  Ramirez is still a great player, but statheads will tell you that he's no longer transcendent.  I'll miss the 2003-2005 Manny, and the Manny from the 2007 playoffs -- but it was time for him to leave.  The Red Sox have not had good luck with deadline deals for Canadian ballplayers -- I hope that Jason Bay can break that jinx. 

This baseball season, I’ve been trying to figure out if the 2008 Red Sox were going to be like the 2007 team (which would have been awesome), the 2005 team (good but the pitching wasn’t quite there) or the 2006 team (superficially good but one step away from falling off a cliff).  After the big Manny Ramirez trade, however, I can now add 2004 to the possible list of teams — scuffling team goes on a big-time tear after trading away a talented malcontent.  I love this tidbit from Nick Cafardo:  “Ramirez was asleep when the trade went down [at 4 PM!!–DD] and didn’t know about it for a couple hours later.”  Seth Mnookin has a good Soxfan rundown of the pros and cons of the trade.  I’ll add four points:

  1. If ESPN’s Steve Phillips thinks the trade was a loser for the Red Sox but Baseball Prospectus’ Joe Sheehan and Christina Kahrl think it’s a winner, then I’ll sleep well tonight. 
  2. In his tick-tock on the trade, Gordon Edes wrote:  “Management had taken an informal poll of the club’s veteran leaders; what it was hearing was that [Red Sox Manager] Francona was in danger of losing the clubhouse if Ramírez was allowed to continue in the same vein, begging off from playing because of injuries teammates privately questioned, obsessing on his contract, playing hard when the mood suited him.”  You know what?  Francona has been so underestimated as a manager of modern-day baseball, I’m actually willing to say that I’d trade not winning the World Series this year if it meant Francona was hale and hearty enough to manage the next five years.  As Edes’ story suggests, I think trading Manny did just that. 
  3. At lot of fans think the ownership of the team were “enablers” of Manny.  I think the Red Sox’s calculation for years has been that while they wished Manny had given them max effort all the time, 90% effort from a transcendent player was better than 100% from most other players.  Ramirez is still a great player, but statheads will tell you that he’s no longer transcendent.  I’ll miss the 2003-2005 Manny, and the Manny from the 2007 playoffs — but it was time for him to leave. 
  4. The Red Sox have not had good luck with deadline deals for Canadian ballplayers — I hope that Jason Bay can break that jinx. 

Daniel W. Drezner is a professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University and co-host of the Space the Nation podcast. Twitter: @dandrezner

Tag: Sports

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