Upset brewing in Israel?

Haaretz’s Bradley Burston thinks the high turnout is a good sign for Kadima: As a general rule of thumb, low turnout tends to favor fringe or opposition parties, whose voters tend to be more committed and fervent. Conversely, higher turnout may boost Kadima and Labor, who hope for a last-minute push against the poll-leading opposition ...

By , a former associate editor at Foreign Policy.

Haaretz's Bradley Burston thinks the high turnout is a good sign for Kadima:
As a general rule of thumb, low turnout tends to favor fringe or opposition parties, whose voters tend to be more committed and fervent. Conversely, higher turnout may boost Kadima and Labor, who hope for a last-minute push against the poll-leading opposition Likud.

Haaretz’s Bradley Burston thinks the high turnout is a good sign for Kadima:

As a general rule of thumb, low turnout tends to favor fringe or opposition parties, whose voters tend to be more committed and fervent. Conversely, higher turnout may boost Kadima and Labor, who hope for a last-minute push against the poll-leading opposition Likud.

Another important group to watch is Israeli-Arabs. A strong turnout in this sector could offset expected big gains by rightist Jewish parties, in particular Avigdor Lieberman’s high-flying Yisrael Beiteinu.

Joshua Keating was an associate editor at Foreign Policy. Twitter: @joshuakeating

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