Who, if anyone, wanted to kill Tsvangirai?

Rumors started swirling the moment news surfaced: the truck driver in an accident that left Zimbabwean Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai’s wife dead was contracted by USAID. It was a hell of a twist to a terrible tale. The incident was already loaded with suspicion — justifiable or not. Though Tsvangirai’s opposition Movement for Democratic Change ...

By , International Crisis Group’s senior analyst for Colombia.
587906_090310_tsvangirai2.jpg
587906_090310_tsvangirai2.jpg
Zimbabwean Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai attends on March 10, 2009 the funeral church service for his wife Susan at a local church in Harare. Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe said during the church service that the car crash that killed Tsvangirai's wife was "the hand of God". The remarks were Mugabe's first public comments on the crash that killed Susan Tsvangirai and injured her husband on March 6. AFP PHOTO/Desmond Kwande (Photo credit should read DESMOND KWANDE/AFP/Getty Images)

Rumors started swirling the moment news surfaced: the truck driver in an accident that left Zimbabwean Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai's wife dead was contracted by USAID.

Rumors started swirling the moment news surfaced: the truck driver in an accident that left Zimbabwean Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai’s wife dead was contracted by USAID.

It was a hell of a twist to a terrible tale. The incident was already loaded with suspicion — justifiable or not. Though Tsvangirai’s opposition Movement for Democratic Change party said they did not suspect any foul play, they couldn’t help noting, “We are… alive to the fact that a lot of Robert Mugabe’s opponents died in suspicious road accidents involving army trucks.” 

Now, rumors of assasination are flying in the opposite direction. Did “the West” try to bring down Tsvangirai? One Zimbabwean MP seems to think so, and he’s calling for an investigation to find out.”Given the physical facts surrounding it, suspects in this tragic accident can only be those who have vigorously opposed the unity of Zimbabweans and who have responded to the formation of an inclusive government by extending their evil sanctions,” he said.

Of course, if something was awry, then all should be debunked. But if accidents are accidents, this is dangerous stuff. Tsvingirai, in his mourning, will have to be careful to avoid being drawn into Mugabe’s opposition to the U.S. and Britain. Even unintentional posturing could discredit him as a recipient of aid so desperately needed to stabilize Zimbabwe’s economy.

Moreover, the position would shortcut any political sway he holds in the already precarious power-sharing government. Mugabe has survived on a story that paints himself as the sole liberator from Western intervention. If that “intervention” victimizes Tsvangirai, Mugabe will have rationalized his senior role as the regime’s protectorate. Let’s hope his recent rare kind words for the man are as close as the relationship gets. 

DESMOND KWANDE/AFP/Getty Images

Elizabeth Dickinson is International Crisis Group’s senior analyst for Colombia.

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