Xinhua: Expect “mass incidents” in 2009

Coming from China’s state news agency, this prediction of social turmoil seems significant. Translation by China Digital Times: Without question, we’ve already entered a period of highly concentrated mass incidents. Furthermore, 2009 may also be the year that Chinese society will face many contradictions and conflicts in a way that will test the governance at ...

By , a former associate editor at Foreign Policy.

Coming from China's state news agency, this prediction of social turmoil seems significant. Translation by China Digital Times:

Coming from China’s state news agency, this prediction of social turmoil seems significant. Translation by China Digital Times:

Without question, we’ve already entered a period of highly concentrated . Furthermore, 2009 may also be the year that Chinese society will face many contradictions and conflicts in a way that will test the governance at every level of Party government.

At the moment, the most sensitive problem is that of working to stop the financial tsunami’s metamorphosis from economic pressure to a social crisis. The focus has been on maintaining economic growth, guaranteeing employment, protecting the people’s livelihood and maintaining stability….

 The common characteristics of current can be summarized as follows: social contradictions have already formed certain foundations of society and the masses, creating a powder keg ready to explode at the first hint of a flame. Conflicts escalate extremely rapidly; confrontation is intense; the destruction to society is sizable; appropriate management is difficult. At the same time, behind the seemingly random “sparks,” there is always a pile of “tinder.” This causes small incidents to escalate quickly, evolving into a large-scale, intense conflict. This shows that in a period of constant change in greater social interest and personal interests, a social crisis can be instigated by a contagion of dissatisfaction among the people. Even a street brawl could turn into an irrational mass venting that engulfs the whole city.

Joshua Keating was an associate editor at Foreign Policy. Twitter: @joshuakeating

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