Is the missile shield moving to Georgia?

It appears that the Obama administration’s revised plans for a missile shield will heavily focus on the Caucasus, perhaps even that perpetual thorn in the Kremlin’s side, Georgia: US defense officials have not specified the radar’s new proposed location, but some Georgian and Russian officials and commentators have been quick to suggest that the Pentagon ...

By , a former associate editor at Foreign Policy.

It appears that the Obama administration's revised plans for a missile shield will heavily focus on the Caucasus, perhaps even that perpetual thorn in the Kremlin's side, Georgia:

It appears that the Obama administration’s revised plans for a missile shield will heavily focus on the Caucasus, perhaps even that perpetual thorn in the Kremlin’s side, Georgia:

US defense officials have not specified the radar’s new proposed location, but some Georgian and Russian officials and commentators have been quick to suggest that the Pentagon has Georgia in mind. These analysts said that if the United States is thinking about the South Caucasus, Georgia would be the best place for the radar deployment. Armenia, they say, would not wish to anger its close strategic ally Russia by hosting the radar, while Azerbaijan would not want to put its already strained relationship with Iran to the test.

Russian military analyst Vladislav Shurygin said that intelligence provided by the radar might also help Georgia to protect itself from Russian missiles. "We should not have any illusions about the US plans," he told the Regnum news agency. US officials have long maintained that the defense system would focus on Iran, rather than Russia.

Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. James Cartwright has said that  Russia should actually be reassued by a Caucasus location since the radar won’t be aimed at them:

“The X-band radar is a single directional,” he said. “In other words, when you put it down, it points in a single direction. And it will be very clear that it is pointing south towards Iran.”

That might be true, but the Bush adminstraion also argued that the Eastern European location had nothing to do with Russia and was purely aimed at Iran, which did little to assuage Moscow’s concerns. I would imagine that an expanded U.S. troop presence in Georgia would annoy Russia as much, if not more, than having them in Poland. 

Joshua Keating was an associate editor at Foreign Policy. Twitter: @joshuakeating

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