The other big presidential speech last night

Right around the time that Barack Obama was giving his prime time address to the nation, his counterpoint in Mexico, Felipe Calderon, was doing the same thing. The subjects were different, but the political stakes for both countries were equally high. While Obama talked about doing battle against the BP oil spill in the Gulf ...

By , International Crisis Group’s senior analyst for Colombia.

Right around the time that Barack Obama was giving his prime time address to the nation, his counterpoint in Mexico, Felipe Calderon, was doing the same thing. The subjects were different, but the political stakes for both countries were equally high. While Obama talked about doing battle against the BP oil spill in the Gulf -- to "fight this spill with everything we’ve got," Calderon was talking about a far less metaphorical war: Against the country's drug cartels. The fate of both presidencies may well rest on their respective battlegrounds.

Right around the time that Barack Obama was giving his prime time address to the nation, his counterpoint in Mexico, Felipe Calderon, was doing the same thing. The subjects were different, but the political stakes for both countries were equally high. While Obama talked about doing battle against the BP oil spill in the Gulf — to "fight this spill with everything we’ve got," Calderon was talking about a far less metaphorical war: Against the country’s drug cartels. The fate of both presidencies may well rest on their respective battlegrounds.

The drug war launched by Calderon’s administration has been much analyzed, criticized, and picked apart for its efficacy, the wisdom of its undertaking, and the care with which it has been carried out. The criticisms are many: That the effort has made things worse, exacerbated social tensions, unleashed a human rights-violating military against the Mexican people, and all done little to stop the trafficking. (He addressed all these critiques in his speech to the nation.)

But no matter your opinion of how things have gone so far, it’s hard to argue for the alternative of accommodation with the drug lords, something that persisted prior to Calderon’s term. He clearly doesn’t see that as an option either: "We have fought with force and determination against these criminal organziations. And we, the Federal Government, have done so not only because it is our obligation, but also because what hinges upon this fight is your well-being and the future of our children." (my translation).

The speech was notable for two other reasons, one rhetorical and one political. First, Calderon took a page from Obama’s book by using the first half of his speech to explain how Mexico arrived at this point — reminding listeners that, by the time he entered office, things were already a mess. This has been a tactic employed by Obama often on the economy and the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, where he has reminded voters that these crises was not of his making. And so did Calderon: "It would have been easy to ignore this problem, as some have proposed, but it is the responsibility of the government to protect its people."

The second bit of note for an American audience was Calderon’s clear linking of the escalation of Mexico’s drug woes to the lifting of a U.S. ban on the sale of assault weapons in 2004. (Indeed, weapons sales over the border have grown into big business in recent years, arming cartels with more and better guns.) This issue has been a sticking point in relationship between Washington and Mexico City — Calderon pleaded for the ban to  be re-established ban during his address to a joint-session of Congress last month.

Both speeches were more about convincing people than laying out concrete steps, but in many ways, that’s the point. Calderon was explicit: "With your support, we will succeed." The negative is also true… Without it, Mexico won’t.

Elizabeth Dickinson is International Crisis Group’s senior analyst for Colombia.

Tag: Mexico

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