Best Defense

Today’s question: Will North Korea collapse before the end of this year?

I wouldn’t be surprised.

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I wouldn’t be surprised. Honestly, I don’t see what is still propping up L’il Kim.

That thought is provoked by a bunch of questions that former State Department official Wendy Sherman posed yesterday:

— In the event of a regime collapse, what near term actions would U.S., ROK, and Chinese forces take?
— How could conflict on the peninsula between those forces be avoided?
— What steps would be taken and by whom to secure North Korea’s nuclear weapons facilities and materials?
— What measures would be taken to manage migrant and refugee issues?
— What assurances could be provided about the treaties that China has concluded with North Korea, including with regard to the border?
— Would American troops stay on the peninsula after the immediate crisis ended and if so, in what numbers?
— How would the Korean peninsula be governed — would there be immediate reunification or a period of confederation or some other arrangement?
— What would replace the armistice if needed?
— Who would cover the economic costs of reconstruction?

There’s a Party congress coming up at the end of this week — the first since 1980 — so let’s see what they have to say.

My Spidey sense is tingling: What made Ms. Sherman bring up collapse so much?

On the other hand, it also is a question about whether the Republican Party will survive until the end of this year.

Photo credit: Wikimedia Commons

Thomas E. Ricks covered the U.S. military from 1991 to 2008 for the Wall Street Journal and then the Washington Post. He can be reached at ricksblogcomment@gmail.com. @tomricks1

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