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What AI Can Tell Us About Putin’s Next Steps in Ukraine

Be prepared for attacks on Kharkiv and Gazprom’s fighters joining the war.

By , a retired four-star U.S. Army general and an advisor to Rhombus Power, and , the founder and CEO of Rhombus Power.
Front-line Ukrainian soldiers jump back and cover their ears as a mortar fires on targets near Ugledar, Donetsk, Ukraine, on April 18. Dirt flies in the foreground.
Front-line Ukrainian soldiers jump back and cover their ears as a mortar fires on targets near Ugledar, Donetsk, Ukraine, on April 18. Dirt flies in the foreground.
A colorized photo shows Ukrainian soldiers firing on targets near Donetsk, Ukraine, on April 18. Muhammed Enes Yildirim/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images/Foreign Policy illustration

Artificial intelligence has been an extraordinarily useful tool in anticipating Russian aggression against Ukraine and making sense of the tumult facing the country, with all of the war’s implications for the global order. As we described in Foreign Policy, AI-based models provided a particularly chilling and clear prediction that Russia would invade at a time when the likelihood of war was still being contentiously debated in Washington and other Western capitals.

Stanley McChrystal is a retired four-star U.S. Army general and an advisor to Rhombus Power. He led Joint Special Operations Command from 2003 to 2008 and U.S. and coalition forces in Afghanistan from 2009 to 2010. He is the author of My Share of the Task and a co-author of Team of Teams, Leaders, and Risk: A User’s Guide. Twitter: @StanMcChrystal

Anshu Roy is the founder and CEO of Rhombus Power.

Read More On AI | Russia | Strategic Intelligence | Ukraine | Vladimir Putin | War

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