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The U.S. Budget Deficit Has Rocketed. Does It Matter?

Germany and Britain have lower shortfalls, but their economies aren’t better off.

By , a columnist at Foreign Policy and director of the European Institute at Columbia University. Sign up for Adam’s Chartbook newsletter here, and , a deputy editor at Foreign Policy.
The silhouette of a person is seen against a safety door and grafitti in front of a shuttered business. Wood and construction fencing are seen in the foreground.
The silhouette of a person is seen against a safety door and grafitti in front of a shuttered business. Wood and construction fencing are seen in the foreground.
A person walks in front of a shuttered business in New York City on Jan. 24. Eduardo MunozAlvarez/VIEWpress via Getty Images

The U.S. federal government’s budget deficit expanded to about $2 trillion in 2023—roughly double what it was in 2022. And there are growing signs that the deficit is acting as a drag on the economy as a whole. The interest on a 10-year bond has risen a full percentage point in the past three months, reflecting an assessment by investors that the long-term outlook for the economy merits some concern.

Adam Tooze is a columnist at Foreign Policy and a history professor and the director of the European Institute at Columbia University. He is the author of Chartbook, a newsletter on economics, geopolitics, and history. Twitter: @adam_tooze

Cameron Abadi is a deputy editor at Foreign Policy. Twitter: @CameronAbadi

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