Jay Ulfelder

Jay Ulfelder, a political scientist and forecaster, writes the blog Dart-Throwing Chimp.
Articles by Jay Ulfelder
GettyImages-497267710 crop
GettyImages-497267710 crop

It’s Getting Better All The Time
Argument
Jay Ulfelder
484180521 cropped
484180521 cropped

Genocide is Going Out of Fashion
Argument
Jay Ulfelder
Wikimedia
Wikimedia

Why the World Can’t Have a Nate Silver
Argument
Jay Ulfelder

Democracies and arms control treaties: causation questions
The Multilateralist
Jay Ulfelder
-/AFP/GettyImages
-/AFP/GettyImages

Worrying about South Africa
Transitions
Jay Ulfelder
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