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What Taiwan Can Learn from Honduras’s Switch to China

Taipei’s last diplomatic stand may well be in the Americas.

Analysis |
Leland Lazarus, Ryan C. Berg

Finland’s Sanna Marin Might Get the Pink Slip Sunday

The center-left prime minister is a rock star internationally—but she might lose this weekend’s vote.

Dispatch |
Emily Schultheis

The U.S. Wants to Make Sure China Can’t Catch Up on Quantum Computing

Washington is likely to impose new controls in the race for a key technology.

Argument |
Kevin Klyman

What in the World?

Test yourself on the week of March 25: Germany goes on strike, Finland nears full NATO membership, and Taiwanese leaders take testy trips.

Quiz |
Drew Gorman
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China

China

U.S. President Joe Biden looks at a quantum computer as he tours an IBM facility in Poughkeepsie, New York on Oct. 6, 2022.
U.S. President Joe Biden looks at a quantum computer as he tours an IBM facility in Poughkeepsie, New York on Oct. 6, 2022.

The U.S. Wants to Make Sure China Can’t Catch Up on Quantum Computing

Washington is likely to impose new controls in the race for a key technology.

Argument |
Kevin Klyman
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew prepares to testify before the U.S. Congress.
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew prepares to testify before the U.S. Congress.

Is TikTok Its Own Worst Enemy?

As the United States moves closer to a ban on the app, its executives and the Chinese government aren’t doing it any favors.

China Brief |
James Palmer

Insider | What TikTok Has on You By Rishi Iyengar

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg (L) and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida hold a joint media briefing in Tokyo.
NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg (L) and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida hold a joint media briefing in Tokyo.

Russia’s War Has Wrecked Beijing’s Hopes of Keeping NATO Away

Ukraine has sparked renewed interest in East Asia tensions.

Argument |
Blake Herzinger
Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen arrives at the boarding gate of the international airport in Taoyuan as she departs for a 10-day international trip on March 29, 2023.
Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen arrives at the boarding gate of the international airport in Taoyuan as she departs for a 10-day international trip on March 29, 2023.

Taiwan’s Diplomatic Dance

The best lines from Ryan Hass, Zongyuan Zoe Liu, and James Palmer on the latest China-focused FP Live.

Insider |
Ravi Agrawal
An activist defaces portraits of Chinese President Xi Jinping and leaders of Hong Kong during a rally marking the anniversary of Hong Kong’s pro-democracy protests in 2019, in Taipei on June 12, 2022.
An activist defaces portraits of Chinese President Xi Jinping and leaders of Hong Kong during a rally marking the anniversary of Hong Kong’s pro-democracy protests in 2019, in Taipei on June 12, 2022.

Counter Chinese Bullying With an ‘Economic Article 5’

Democracies should act against Chinese economic coercion at their summit this week.

Argument |
Anders Fogh Rasmussen
An image shows China, the United States, the United Kingdom, India, and Canada driving artificial intelligence technology.
An image shows China, the United States, the United Kingdom, India, and Canada driving artificial intelligence technology.

Who’s Winning the AI Race? It’s Not That Simple.

Figuring out who’s ahead is a lot tougher than counting rockets or warheads.

Explainer |
Rishi Iyengar
Russian President Vladimir Putin and China's President Xi Jinping meet in Moscow.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and China's President Xi Jinping meet in Moscow.

What Does Xi’s Visit to Russia Mean for the World?

China’s embrace of Russia seems politically risky but Beijing is also benefiting economically and emerging as the dominant power.

It's Debatable |
Emma Ashford, Matthew Kroenig
Xi and Putin shake hands while carrying red folders.
Xi and Putin shake hands while carrying red folders.

Xi and Putin Have the Most Consequential Undeclared Alliance in the World

It’s become more important than Washington’s official alliances today.

Argument |
Graham Allison
Uyghur men dance outside the Id Kah mosque in Kashgar, Xinjiang, where authorities have created a parallel universe for tourists and locals.
Uyghur men dance outside the Id Kah mosque in Kashgar, Xinjiang, where authorities have created a parallel universe for tourists and locals.

UNESCO Made Ukraine a Priority, but Xinjiang Fell by the Wayside

When some cultures are protected more than others.

Report |
Liam Scott
Russian President Vladimir Putin sees off Chinese President Xi Jinping after a reception following their talks at the Kremlin in Moscow on March 21.
Russian President Vladimir Putin sees off Chinese President Xi Jinping after a reception following their talks at the Kremlin in Moscow on March 21.

What to Make of Xi’s Trip to Moscow

The Chinese leader may have offered more pushback against Washington than substantive support for Russia.

China Brief |
James Palmer
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping give a toast during a reception following their talks at the Kremlin in Moscow on March 21.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping give a toast during a reception following their talks at the Kremlin in Moscow on March 21.

Can Russia Get Used to Being China’s Little Brother?

The power dynamic between Beijing and Moscow has switched dramatically.

Argument |
Philipp Ivanov
A COMAC C919 narrow-body airliner on display during the 2021 China Aviation Industry Conference And Nanchang Air Show on October 30, 2021 in Nanchang, China.
A COMAC C919 narrow-body airliner on display during the 2021 China Aviation Industry Conference And Nanchang Air Show on October 30, 2021 in Nanchang, China.

If China Arms Russia, the U.S. Should Kill China’s Aircraft Industry

Beijing’s aerospace future is uniquely dependent on Western companies. U.S. and EU trade sanctions could bring its indigenous aviation sector to a halt.

Argument |
Richard Aboulafia

Insider | Is America’s China Policy Too Hawkish? By Ravi Agrawal

A conveyor belt carries chunks of cobalt in the Dominican Republic of the Congo.
A conveyor belt carries chunks of cobalt in the Dominican Republic of the Congo.

America’s Military Depends on Minerals That China Controls

Rethinking supply chains is vital for U.S. security.

Argument |
Morgan D. Bazilian, Emily J. Holland, Joshua Busby
A wide view of the delegations sitting at tables arranged in a triangle shape.
A wide view of the delegations sitting at tables arranged in a triangle shape.

China’s Good Offices

With the Saudi-Iran deal, Beijing shows there’s a place for its less judgmental, see-no-evil diplomatic approach.

Analysis |
Howard W. French
Chinese President Xi Jinping delivers a virtual speech during the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation in Dakar, Senegal, on Nov. 29, 2021.
Chinese President Xi Jinping delivers a virtual speech during the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation in Dakar, Senegal, on Nov. 29, 2021.

China Is Tweaking Its Propaganda for African Audiences

A concerted media campaign has not done much for Beijing’s image.

Analysis |
Joshua Eisenman
China’s former premier, Li Keqiang, left, shakes hands with newly elected Premier Li Qiang, right, during the fourth plenary session of the National People’s Congress at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on March 11.
China’s former premier, Li Keqiang, left, shakes hands with newly elected Premier Li Qiang, right, during the fourth plenary session of the National People’s Congress at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on March 11.

China Gets a New Premier

Li Qiang is now the second-most powerful person in China. What will he do with it?

China Brief |
James Palmer
Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Joe Biden meet at the G-20 summit in Bali, Indonesia, on Nov. 14, 2022.
Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Joe Biden meet at the G-20 summit in Bali, Indonesia, on Nov. 14, 2022.

Biden and Xi Are Doomed to Escalation

Neither Beijing nor Washington seems capable of cooperation or building trust.

Analysis |
James Crabtree
Chinese President Xi Jinping (L) accompanies Saudi Arabian King Salman bin Abdulaziz al Saud (R) during a welcoming ceremony in Beijing, China.
Chinese President Xi Jinping (L) accompanies Saudi Arabian King Salman bin Abdulaziz al Saud (R) during a welcoming ceremony in Beijing, China.

China’s Iran-Saudi Deal May Not Stick

Beijing will have a tough time balancing ties with Riyadh and Tehran.

Argument |
Jesse Marks
Chinese graduates throw their hats into the sky after a commencement ceremony.
Chinese graduates throw their hats into the sky after a commencement ceremony.

Lost in Translation

What happens when academic exchanges between the world’s biggest superpowers collapse?

Deep Dive |
Christina Lu
The TikTok logo is displayed in front of a TikTok office in Culver City, California.
The TikTok logo is displayed in front of a TikTok office in Culver City, California.

Is This TikTok’s Huawei Moment?

As bans of the video app pile up around the world, the question is how far the U.S.—and its allies—will go.

Report |
Rishi Iyengar
Newspapers in Tehran feature on their front page news about the China-brokered deal between Iran and Saudi Arabia to restore ties, signed in Beijing the previous day, on March, 11 2023.
Newspapers in Tehran feature on their front page news about the China-brokered deal between Iran and Saudi Arabia to restore ties, signed in Beijing the previous day, on March, 11 2023.

Saudi-Iranian Détente Is a Wake-Up Call for America

The peace plan is a big deal—and it’s no accident that China brokered it.

Argument |
Stephen M. Walt
Sanitation workers clean the exterior of the Ping An International Finance Center in Shenzhen, Guangdong province, China.
Sanitation workers clean the exterior of the Ping An International Finance Center in Shenzhen, Guangdong province, China.

‘Money Machine’ Is Missing the Juicy Details of Chinese Banking

Weijian Shan’s new book is notable mostly for what it leaves out.

Review |
Bob Davis
Chinese President Xi Jinping drinks a cup of tea during the second plenary session of the National People’s Congress in Beijing on March 7.
Chinese President Xi Jinping drinks a cup of tea during the second plenary session of the National People’s Congress in Beijing on March 7.

Why China Has Sharpened Its Anti-American Rhetoric

Washington has become a convenient scapegoat for Beijing. That says more about Chinese President Xi Jinping than it does about their relationship.

China Brief |
James Palmer
U.S. President Joe Biden meets with Chinese President Xi Jinping.
U.S. President Joe Biden meets with Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Is America’s China Policy Too Hawkish?

Jessica Chen Weiss on why she thinks competition with China is consuming U.S. foreign policy—and what the United States needs to do about it.

Insider |
Ravi Agrawal
U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping shake hands.
U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping shake hands.

China Is Pushing Disengagement With the United States Hard

Beijing paints Washington as an implacable and inevitable opponent.

Argument |
Covell Meyskens
Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks to Chinese President Xi Jinping during the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Samarkand, Uzbekistan on Sept. 16, 2022.
Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks to Chinese President Xi Jinping during the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Samarkand, Uzbekistan on Sept. 16, 2022.

China’s Ukraine Peace Plan Is Actually About Taiwan

Beijing’s phony proposal lays bare its conditions for winning an East Asian war.

Analysis |
Craig Singleton
security guard stands outside the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan, China
security guard stands outside the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan, China

How American Journalists Watched China’s COVID-19 Crisis Unfold

The pandemic’s outbreak brought rare reporting freedoms.

Excerpt |
Mike Chinoy
An illustration of a phone with ChatGPT bubbles. One asks in Chinese: how can China beat the US? The other thinks with three dots.
An illustration of a phone with ChatGPT bubbles. One asks in Chinese: how can China beat the US? The other thinks with three dots.

What the ChatGPT Moment Means for U.S.-China Tech Competition

The rise of American-made chatbots has kicked off a flurry of Chinese activity.

Report |
Rishi Iyengar, Liam Scott
ChatGPT artificial intelligence software is seen.
ChatGPT artificial intelligence software is seen.

China’s Censors Are Afraid of What Chatbots Might Say

Artificial intelligence development may get held up for political reasons.

Argument |
Nicholas Welch, Jordan Schneider
Russian President Vladimir Putin, Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan, Chinese President Xi Jinping, Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev, Iran's President Hassan Rouhani, Kyrgyz President Sooronbai Jeenbekov walk as they attend a meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) Council of Heads of State in Bishkek on June 14, 2019.
Russian President Vladimir Putin, Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan, Chinese President Xi Jinping, Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev, Iran's President Hassan Rouhani, Kyrgyz President Sooronbai Jeenbekov walk as they attend a meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) Council of Heads of State in Bishkek on June 14, 2019.

Putin Has Assembled an Axis of Autocrats Against Ukraine

Russia’s war is receiving critical assistance from authoritarian regimes around the world. 

Argument |
Justin Daniels
Colonial Pipeline was the subject of a Russian cyberattack that forced its temporary closure and caused gasoline shortages on the East Coast.
Colonial Pipeline was the subject of a Russian cyberattack that forced its temporary closure and caused gasoline shortages on the East Coast.

Biden Wants to Reboot America’s Cyber Defenses

The United States is taking a more proactive approach to defending its cyberspace—and everyone else’s.

Report |
Rishi Iyengar
Taiwan's armed forces hold two days of routine drills at a military base in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Taiwan's armed forces hold two days of routine drills at a military base in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

The U.S. Needs to Talk About the Risk of War With China

Washington’s commitment to Taiwan hasn’t been sold to the American public.

Argument |
Doug Bandow
Performers in ethnic minority costumes dance in Beijing.
Performers in ethnic minority costumes dance in Beijing.

China’s Head of Ethnic Affairs Is Keen to End Minority Culture

Pan Yue is doubling down on the party’s hard-line policies.

ChinaFile |
Aaron Glasserman
Chinese President Xi Jinping holds an umbrella while walking in the rain.
Chinese President Xi Jinping holds an umbrella while walking in the rain.

Why China Is Not a Superpower

How the United States, China, and the former Soviet Union stack up.

Analysis |
Jo Inge Bekkevold
A woman walks past a billboard showing Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on Feb. 28.
A woman walks past a billboard showing Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on Feb. 28.

How the Chinese Communist Party Plans to Reinforce Its Power

A recent leadership meeting hinted at what Xi Jinping’s “intensified” overhaul might look like.

China Brief |
James Palmer
The WeChat logo is seen.
The WeChat logo is seen.

China’s Censorship Reaches Globally Through WeChat

The all-in-one app is also a propaganda tool for the Chinese Communist Party.

Argument |
Seth Kaplan
Jewher Ilham testifies during a hearing before the Congressional-Executive Commission on China on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C.
Jewher Ilham testifies during a hearing before the Congressional-Executive Commission on China on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C.

Western Academics Are Fighting for Disappeared Friends in Xinjiang

Mourning has consumed Xinjiang scholars for a region they can no longer reach.

Report |
Liam Scott
This aerial photo taken on September 26, 2022 shows an image welcoming the 20th Communist Party Congress, created by growing red sorghum, in a field in Hangzhou, in China's eastern Zhejiang province.
This aerial photo taken on September 26, 2022 shows an image welcoming the 20th Communist Party Congress, created by growing red sorghum, in a field in Hangzhou, in China's eastern Zhejiang province.

China’s Farmland Is in Serious Trouble

Local governments are desperate to balance the books with land sales.

Analysis |
Zongyuan Zoe Liu
Russian President Vladimir Putin meets with Chinese State Counselor Wang Yi in Moscow on Feb. 22.
Russian President Vladimir Putin meets with Chinese State Counselor Wang Yi in Moscow on Feb. 22.

Is China Stepping Up Its Support for Russia?

Beijing has reinforced its anti-U.S. messaging this week, but lethal aid for Moscow still seems to be a red line.

China Brief |
James Palmer
Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks during the opening session of the 20th Party Congress at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on Oct. 16, 2022.
Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks during the opening session of the 20th Party Congress at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on Oct. 16, 2022.

China’s Checkbook Diplomacy Has Bounced

China can make friends or break legs. It can’t do both.

Report |
Christina Lu
A Chinese worker fires rockets for cloud seeding in Huangpi, central China.
A Chinese worker fires rockets for cloud seeding in Huangpi, central China.

China Doesn’t Want a Geoengineering Disaster

Beijing and Washington share an interest in rules for climate experimentation.

Argument |
Scott Moore, Eyck Freymann
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken arrives for a meeting with Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. at the Malacanang Palace in Manila on Aug. 6, 2022.
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken arrives for a meeting with Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. at the Malacanang Palace in Manila on Aug. 6, 2022.

The Philippines Is America’s New Star Ally in Asia

Manila’s geopolitical shift is more than the Biden administration could have hoped for.

Analysis |
Derek Grossman
Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba meets with United States Secretary of State at the Munich Security Conference (MSC) in Munich, Germany, on February 18, 2023.
Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba meets with United States Secretary of State at the Munich Security Conference (MSC) in Munich, Germany, on February 18, 2023.

Ukraine’s Push for Fighter Jets Takes Flight in Munich

But the West is worried that Kyiv might run out of ammo first.

Insider |
Jack Detsch, Robbie Gramer
'The Age of Awakening' Hong Kong Premiere
'The Age of Awakening' Hong Kong Premiere

China’s Newest Action TV Show Is a Propaganda Hit

Private partnerships are upping the Communist Party’s entertainment game.

Argument |
Alex Colville
A cocoa farmer stirs his spread out in the sun for drying in Bringakro, in the Ivory Coast.
A cocoa farmer stirs his spread out in the sun for drying in Bringakro, in the Ivory Coast.

Adam Tooze: How China and India Could Transform the Chocolate Business

A rise in worldwide consumption would test an industry built largely on exploitation.

Insider |
Cameron Abadi
A fighter jet flies past the remnants of a large balloon after it was shot down just off the coast of South Carolina.
A fighter jet flies past the remnants of a large balloon after it was shot down just off the coast of South Carolina.

In a World Awash in Satellites, Why Use Spy Balloons?

And what we know about China’s infamous eye in the sky.

Explainer |
Rishi Iyengar
Special agents process material from the high-altitude balloon recovered off the coast of South Carolina.
Special agents process material from the high-altitude balloon recovered off the coast of South Carolina.

Can the U.S. and China Leave the Spy Balloon Behind?

After a week of shooting down suspicious objects, the White House seems to take a step back.

China Brief |
James Palmer
US China Hawk in Washington
US China Hawk in Washington

Washington’s China Hawks Take Flight

The story of how decades of U.S. engagement with China gave way to estrangement.

Deep Dive |
Robbie Gramer, Christina Lu
Sri Lankan construction workers along a road in Colombo.
Sri Lankan construction workers along a road in Colombo.

China’s Belt and Road to Nowhere

Xi Jinping’s signature foreign policy is a “shadow of its former self.”

Report |
Christina Lu
U.S. sailors recover a high-altitude surveillance balloon.
U.S. sailors recover a high-altitude surveillance balloon.

Spy Balloons Evoke Bad Cold War Memories for China

Covert U.S. intrusions into Chinese airspace were common for decades.

Argument |
John Delury
Dalton speaks while sitting at a table alongside other U.S. officials.
Dalton speaks while sitting at a table alongside other U.S. officials.

The U.S. Overreacted to the Chinese Spy Balloon. That Scares Me.

So unused to being challenged, the United States has become so filled with anxiety over China that sober responses are becoming nearly impossible.

Argument |
Howard W. French
U.S. President Joe Biden speaks to the press after arriving at Hagerstown Regional Airport in Hagerstown, Maryland, on Feb. 4, 2023.
U.S. President Joe Biden speaks to the press after arriving at Hagerstown Regional Airport in Hagerstown, Maryland, on Feb. 4, 2023.

Is the U.S. Reaction to China’s Spy Balloon Overdue or Overblown?

Beijing’s botched high-altitude surveillance has provoked a backlash among Biden administration officials and the American public.

It's Debatable |
Emma Ashford, Matthew Kroenig
A jet flies by the Chinese spy balloon as it floats off the coast of Surfside Beach, South Carolina, on Feb. 4.
A jet flies by the Chinese spy balloon as it floats off the coast of Surfside Beach, South Carolina, on Feb. 4.

China’s Surveillance Balloon Is Not a Test of Will

The response to the vessel in U.S. airspace shows how the next Cold War could be as overreactive as the first.

China Brief |
James Palmer
Sailors recover a high-altitude surveillance balloon.
Sailors recover a high-altitude surveillance balloon.

China’s Balloon Could Be America’s Awakening

An alarming blunder may convince the U.S. public to take Beijing’s threats seriously.

Argument |
Richard Fontaine
Dongfeng-41 intercontinental strategic nuclear missiles during a military parade celebrating the 70th founding anniversary of the People's Republic of China in Beijing on Oct. 1, 2019.
Dongfeng-41 intercontinental strategic nuclear missiles during a military parade celebrating the 70th founding anniversary of the People's Republic of China in Beijing on Oct. 1, 2019.

The United States and China Still Need to Talk About Nuclear Weapons

Biden and Blinken must not let the spy balloon controversy stand in the way of talks on nuclear crisis management and arms control.

Argument |
Sahil Shah
Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is saluted by members of the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force.
Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is saluted by members of the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force.

Japan’s Long-Awaited Return to Geopolitics

Tokyo’s abandonment of its post-1945 security stance is another fallout from Russia’s war.

Analysis |
Jeffrey W. Hornung
Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks during a meeting between the members of the standing committee of the Political Bureau of the 20th CPC Central Committee and Chinese and foreign journalists.
Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks during a meeting between the members of the standing committee of the Political Bureau of the 20th CPC Central Committee and Chinese and foreign journalists.

Xi Jinping’s Power Grab Is Paying Off

The Chinese leader will probably survive a turbulent time.

Argument |
Neil Thomas
A high-altitude balloon floats in a blue sky.
A high-altitude balloon floats in a blue sky.

How a Chinese Spy Balloon Blew Up a Key U.S. Diplomatic Trip

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has postponed a visit to Beijing in response to a suspected spy balloon over U.S. territory.

Explainer |
James Palmer
Children interact with an artificial intelligence robot at the China Science and Technology Museum in Beijing.
Children interact with an artificial intelligence robot at the China Science and Technology Museum in Beijing.

China’s Tech Money Is Now Radioactive

Washington is increasingly concerned about China poaching U.S. technology.

Report |
Rishi Iyengar, Jack Detsch
An employee wears a protective mask as he sits in the showroom of an Apple store in Beijing after it closed on Feb. 1, 2020, during the early days of the COVID-19 outbreak.
An employee wears a protective mask as he sits in the showroom of an Apple store in Beijing after it closed on Feb. 1, 2020, during the early days of the COVID-19 outbreak.

Beijing Needs to Junk Its Economic Playbook

Government stimulus and greater exports can’t dig China’s economy out of a deep hole.

Analysis |
Zongyuan Zoe Liu
Austin walks down a red carpet past a row of honor guards.
Austin walks down a red carpet past a row of honor guards.

Biden’s Risky Bet on the Philippines to Counter China

Washington hopes the Bongbong Marcos government will allow it to use runways in the Philippines in the case of an armed conflict with China.

Analysis |
Howard W. French
Kashmir-Chenab-railway-bridge-IMG_5459
Kashmir-Chenab-railway-bridge-IMG_5459

How India’s New Bridge to Kashmir Divided a Region

Kashmiris fear an expensive infrastructure project will mean more military domination and demographic change.

Dispatch |
Junaid Kathju
A sign shows the national debt at a bus shelter in Washington.
A sign shows the national debt at a bus shelter in Washington.

China Doesn’t Want a U.S. Debt Default

Washington takes on financial risks that Beijing can’t afford.

ChinaFile |
Arthur R. Kroeber
An image of Alexander the Great on horseback fighting the Battle of Issus.
An image of Alexander the Great on horseback fighting the Battle of Issus.

What China Can Learn From Japan—and Alexander the Great

It’s time for Beijing to reexamine its long-standing sense of purpose.

Argument |
Howard W. French
People walk down a street during the Lunar New Year holiday in Beijing on Jan. 25.
People walk down a street during the Lunar New Year holiday in Beijing on Jan. 25.

China Celebrates New Year Under the Shadow of COVID-19

Official government data shows cases falling, but the busy travel season could mean another wave.

China Brief |
James Palmer
green-energy-battery-infographic-ev-foreign-policy-illustration-HPb
green-energy-battery-infographic-ev-foreign-policy-illustration-HPb

Batteries Are the Battlefield

The next geopolitical contest may be over green technology, and China, for now, is poised to win control of those supply chains.

Insider |
Christina Lu, Liam Scott
Chinese paramilitary police officers salute each other.
Chinese paramilitary police officers salute each other.

Mao’s Strategy Inspires Afghan Guerrillas and Chinese Planners

Ideas like “people’s war” infuse official thinking in China.

Argument |
Benjamin R. Young
Chinese President Xi jinping  toasts the guests during a banquet marking the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China on September 30, 2019 in Beijing, China.
Chinese President Xi jinping toasts the guests during a banquet marking the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China on September 30, 2019 in Beijing, China.

Can China Pull Off Its Charm Offensive?

Why Beijing’s foreign-policy reset will—or won’t—work out.

Analysis |
Stephen M. Walt
An aerial view of the citizen service center of the Xiongan New Area in China.
An aerial view of the citizen service center of the Xiongan New Area in China.

China’s Futuristic City Is a Test of Its Planning Power

Xiongan is a window into Xi Jinping’s ambitions.

Analysis |
Andrew Stokols
Travelers wait for trains at the Shanghai Hongqiao Railway Station.
Travelers wait for trains at the Shanghai Hongqiao Railway Station.

Adam Tooze: Signs of Economic Rebound in China

COVID-19 infections are surging, but China’s economic growth rate could top 5 percent this year.

Insider |
Cameron Abadi
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping attend a meeting.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping attend a meeting.

Washington Is Missing a Chance to Turn China Against Russia

A rare confluence of crises has created the possibility of Beijing changing course.

Argument |
Robert A. Manning, Yun Sun
People walk along a street in Hangzhou, China, on Jan. 17.
People walk along a street in Hangzhou, China, on Jan. 17.

China Can No Longer Deny Its Shrinking Population

An official acknowledgement of population decline may herald new measures to encourage families.

China Brief |
James Palmer
Taiwanese soldiers stand guard as flares are fired during a live-fire drill in Pingtung, Taiwan, on Sept. 6, 2022.
Taiwanese soldiers stand guard as flares are fired during a live-fire drill in Pingtung, Taiwan, on Sept. 6, 2022.

‘Strategic Ambiguity’ Has the U.S. and Taiwan Trapped

Washington’s long-held policy has outlived its usefulness.

Argument |
Raymond Kuo
Chinese President Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi attend the group photo session during the BRICS Summit at the Xiamen International Conference and Exhibition Center in Xiamen, southeastern China's Fujian Province on Sept. 4, 2017.
Chinese President Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi attend the group photo session during the BRICS Summit at the Xiamen International Conference and Exhibition Center in Xiamen, southeastern China's Fujian Province on Sept. 4, 2017.

Modi’s China Policy Is a Failure

The Indian government has tread carefully—and invited trouble.

Analysis |
Anchal Vohra
This aerial photo taken on August 10, 2022 shows a Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) factory in Nanjing, in China's eastern Jiangsu province.
This aerial photo taken on August 10, 2022 shows a Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) factory in Nanjing, in China's eastern Jiangsu province.

Decoupling Wastes U.S. Leverage on China

Keeping Chinese firms dependent on Western chips is a better strategy.

Argument |
Paul Scharre
A young man holding a phone casts a shadow as he walks by an ad for social media company TikTok in Berlin.
A young man holding a phone casts a shadow as he walks by an ad for social media company TikTok in Berlin.

What TikTok Has on You

The social media app’s data collection practices are not unlike its competitors’, but its links to China add a sinister layer to the debate.

Insider |
Rishi Iyengar
Patients are treated in a hospital in Beijing.
Patients are treated in a hospital in Beijing.

COVID-Ravaged Chinese Public Is Desperate for Paxlovid

Beijing failed to prepare antiviral supplies before new outbreak.

Report |
Tracy Wen Liu
Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zhao Lijian packs up his notes after speaking at the daily media briefing in Beijing on April 8, 2020.
Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zhao Lijian packs up his notes after speaking at the daily media briefing in Beijing on April 8, 2020.

Why Did China Banish Its Chief ‘Wolf Warrior’?

Zhao Lijian’s move from foreign ministry spokesperson to a backroom role reflects a diplomatic shift.

China Brief |
James Palmer
The Evergrande Changqing community in China
The Evergrande Changqing community in China

The Chinese Communist Party Wants the Property Bubble Back

Personal and political fortunes were made in two decades of real estate madness.

Argument |
Robert Foyle Hunwick
A resident looks through a hole in the fence from inside a locked-down area in Beijing under covid-19 restrictions.
A resident looks through a hole in the fence from inside a locked-down area in Beijing under covid-19 restrictions.

China’s COVID-19 Failure Isn’t a Win for Democracy

The pandemic years strained every system of government.

Feature |
Bob Davis
A passenger wearing a face shield and mask boards a domestic flight at Shanghai Pudong Airport in Shanghai on Jan. 3.
A passenger wearing a face shield and mask boards a domestic flight at Shanghai Pudong Airport in Shanghai on Jan. 3.

China’s COVID-19 Wave Reaches the Countryside

Opaque data and limited health care infrastructure raise fears of devastating outcomes in rural areas.

China Brief |
James Palmer
A Nachi automobile assembly line model on display during the 5th China International Import Expo in Shanghai on Nov. 7, 2022.
A Nachi automobile assembly line model on display during the 5th China International Import Expo in Shanghai on Nov. 7, 2022.

Corporations Can’t Ignore Geopolitics Anymore

The global division into competing blocs comes at a high price for multinationals.

Argument |
Elisabeth Braw
Patients with COVID-19 lie in beds at Tangshan Gongren Hospital in China's northeastern city of Tangshan.
Patients with COVID-19 lie in beds at Tangshan Gongren Hospital in China's northeastern city of Tangshan.

The Chinese Public Doesn’t Know Who to Trust Anymore

Amid rampant COVID outbreaks, people are confused and scared.

Argument |
Tracy Wen Liu
A military propaganda image appears on a giant screen in Beijing on May 18, 2021.
A military propaganda image appears on a giant screen in Beijing on May 18, 2021.

5 Ways the U.S.-China Cold War Will Be Different From the Last One

Guardrails and statesmanship will be even more important this time around.

Analysis |
Jo Inge Bekkevold
COVID-19 patients lie on hospital beds in the lobby of a hospital in Chongqing, China, on Dec. 23.
COVID-19 patients lie on hospital beds in the lobby of a hospital in Chongqing, China, on Dec. 23.

5 Predictions for China in 2023

From a COVID-19 tragedy to a weakened Xi Jinping, here’s what could happen next year.

China Brief |
James Palmer
A picture of China's President Xi Jinping with a face mask is displayed as people visit an exhibition about China's fight against Covid in Wuhan on Jan. 15, 2021.
A picture of China's President Xi Jinping with a face mask is displayed as people visit an exhibition about China's fight against Covid in Wuhan on Jan. 15, 2021.

China’s Government Is a Self-Made COVID-19 Victim

The country’s pandemic experience should be remembered as a political, not a public health, catastrophe.

Argument |
Howard W. French
The TikTok logo is displayed outside a TikTok office in Culver City, California.
The TikTok logo is displayed outside a TikTok office in Culver City, California.

Tick-Tock, TikTok

The Biden administration has dragged its feet on restricting the Chinese-owned app, but pressure is building for far more drastic measures.

Report |
Rishi Iyengar, Anusha Rathi
War game designer and expert Major Tom Mouat oversees a “One China” game at the U.K. Defence Academy
War game designer and expert Major Tom Mouat oversees a “One China” game at the U.K. Defence Academy

How Would a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Play Out?

War-gamers plan for Taiwan’s D-Day.

Dispatch |
Neal E. Robbins
Supporters of Wayne Chiang, great-grandson of the late President Chiang Kai-shek from the main opposition Kuomintang (KMT), hold flags while listening to his election campaign in New Taipei City on Nov. 5.
Supporters of Wayne Chiang, great-grandson of the late President Chiang Kai-shek from the main opposition Kuomintang (KMT), hold flags while listening to his election campaign in New Taipei City on Nov. 5.

How Much Time Does Taiwan Have?

Recent negotiations and elections may put off Chinese aggression.

Argument |
David Volodzko
india-china-border-truck-GettyImages-1236026281
india-china-border-truck-GettyImages-1236026281

India and China’s Latest Border Clash Is Not a One-Off

The skirmish in Arunachal Pradesh reflects Beijing’s confidence—and New Delhi’s diminished deterrence.

Analysis |
Sushant Singh
A collage of Chinese President Xi Jinping, the CCP Party Congress, and academia and industry.
A collage of Chinese President Xi Jinping, the CCP Party Congress, and academia and industry.

Xi Starts His Third Term With Failure Upon Failure

China’s autocrat has had a surprisingly bad year.

5 Top Reads |
James Palmer
Emergency health workers transport a patient to a fever clinic at a hospital in Beijing on Dec. 21.
Emergency health workers transport a patient to a fever clinic at a hospital in Beijing on Dec. 21.

How China Botched the End of Zero-COVID

Other countries have successfully transitioned from strict lockdowns. Beijing has wasted the last three years.

Analysis |
James Palmer, Michael Rowand, Tracy Wen Liu
Members of the People’s Liberation Army band file out after the closing session of the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party in Beijing on Oct. 22.
Members of the People’s Liberation Army band file out after the closing session of the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party in Beijing on Oct. 22.

What to Expect From China in 2023

Three experts predict how Beijing will manage China’s economy, the pandemic, protests, Taiwan, and relations with Washington.

Insider |
Ravi Agrawal
A worker wearing personal protective equipment sits outside a fever clinic in Beijing on Dec. 19.
A worker wearing personal protective equipment sits outside a fever clinic in Beijing on Dec. 19.

China Sees Dark End to 2022

A major COVID-19 wave has followed Beijing’s abrupt policy change, closing a year of bad news for the Chinese public.

China Brief |
James Palmer
Employees work on the production line at a Volkswagen plant in Urumqi, China.
Employees work on the production line at a Volkswagen plant in Urumqi, China.

Forced Uyghur Labor Probably Helped Build Your Car

A new report ties auto manufacturing to Xinjiang’s genocide. Will consumers—and Western countries—care?

Analysis |
Cullen Hendrix
07 December 2022, Saxony, Freiberg: Two employees work in crystal growth at Freiberg-based Compound Materials GmbH. Gallium arsenide wafers for microelectronics and optoelectronics are produced here. These are used for high-frequency components for 4G/5G communication or are used in LEDs or lasers. Photo: Jan Woitas/dpa (Photo by Jan Woitas/picture alliance via Getty Images)
07 December 2022, Saxony, Freiberg: Two employees work in crystal growth at Freiberg-based Compound Materials GmbH. Gallium arsenide wafers for microelectronics and optoelectronics are produced here. These are used for high-frequency components for 4G/5G communication or are used in LEDs or lasers. Photo: Jan Woitas/dpa (Photo by Jan Woitas/picture alliance via Getty Images)

Europe’s Great Catch-Up on China

With the Ukraine war as a wake-up call, Europe is gradually coming to grips with the China threat.

Report |
Robbie Gramer, Rishi Iyengar
A collage of US President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping alongside military and trade issues of foreign policy
A collage of US President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping alongside military and trade issues of foreign policy

How America’s Hawks Beat China’s Wolf Warriors

In 2022, Washington had the advantage in an increasingly bitter relationship.

5 Top Reads |
James Palmer
People line up outside a fever clinic at a hospital in Beijing on Dec. 11.
People line up outside a fever clinic at a hospital in Beijing on Dec. 11.

China’s Great COVID-19 Wave Has Begun

With zero-COVID effectively over, official numbers can’t keep up with the speed of the omicron variant.

China Brief |
James Palmer
People are detained as pro-democracy protesters gather in the Causeway Bay district of Hong Kong on June 12, 2020.
People are detained as pro-democracy protesters gather in the Causeway Bay district of Hong Kong on June 12, 2020.

Hong Kong Activists Are Taking Note of Chinese Protest Successes

Beijing is still making an example of a rebel city.

Report |
Simon Elegant
A demonstrator lights a candle at a makeshift memorial during a protest in front of the Chinese Embassy in Berlin in solidarity with protesters in China on Dec. 3.
A demonstrator lights a candle at a makeshift memorial during a protest in front of the Chinese Embassy in Berlin in solidarity with protesters in China on Dec. 3.

China’s Protests Electrify the Global Diaspora

The marches against zero-COVID policies have sparked movements worldwide.

Report |
Special Correspondent
A man holds his release papers after leaving a government quarantine facility in Beijing on Dec. 7.
A man holds his release papers after leaving a government quarantine facility in Beijing on Dec. 7.

China Lets Up on Zero-COVID Policy

New measures signal a shift away from containing the disease—and into the next phase of the pandemic.

China Brief |
James Palmer
The Central Intelligence Agency headquarters are pictured in Langley, Virginia, on July 8, 2022.
The Central Intelligence Agency headquarters are pictured in Langley, Virginia, on July 8, 2022.

U.S. Rivals Are Facing Unrest. Is It Due to Luck or Skill?

Mass protests create a favorable environment for intelligence agencies—but the CIA should tread carefully in China, Iran, and Russia.

Analysis |
Douglas London
Workers stand on a roadside near a 'toxic lake' surrounded by rare earth refineries near the Chinese city of Baotou in August 2012.
Workers stand on a roadside near a 'toxic lake' surrounded by rare earth refineries near the Chinese city of Baotou in August 2012.

NIMBYism Is a Strategic Threat

Western countries’ reluctance to allow rare-earth mining at home is cementing dependence on China.

Analysis |
Elisabeth Braw
People hold sheets of paper in protest of COVID restriction in mainland during a vigil in the central district on November 28, 2022 in Hong Kong, China.
People hold sheets of paper in protest of COVID restriction in mainland during a vigil in the central district on November 28, 2022 in Hong Kong, China.

Can America Do Anything at All to Encourage Democracy?

As uprisings happen in China and Iran, it’s no accident the United States hasn’t been involved.

Argument |
James Traub
A man wears a protective mask and looks at his phone as he rests on a pedestrian bridge overlooking an expressway.
A man wears a protective mask and looks at his phone as he rests on a pedestrian bridge overlooking an expressway.

China’s Restive Middle Class Will Be Xi’s Greatest Test Yet

Middle-class people, it turns out, have limited patience for things like intrusive social monitoring and censorship of personal expression.

Argument |
Howard W. French
A large screen shows a news report about Chinese President Xi Jinping.
A large screen shows a news report about Chinese President Xi Jinping.

China Wants Your Attention, Please

Beijing’s massive expansion of state media hasn’t quite worked as planned. But watch out for Xinhua’s growing global deals.

Excerpt |
Joshua Kurlantzick
A person stands with his fist pumped in a crowd.
A person stands with his fist pumped in a crowd.

What You Need to Know About China’s Protests

From their origins to what comes next.

Flash Points |
FP Contributors
People hold blank sheets of paper in protest of COVID-19 restrictions and censorship in Hong Kong on Nov. 28.
People hold blank sheets of paper in protest of COVID-19 restrictions and censorship in Hong Kong on Nov. 28.

The Power of China’s Blank Sheets of Paper

2022 is not 1989, but demonstrations may yet develop in unpredictable ways.

Dispatch |
Melinda Liu
Chinese President Xi Jinping attends the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit.
Chinese President Xi Jinping attends the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit.

China Is Locked Into Xi Jinping’s Aggressive Diplomacy

“Xiplomacy” is a political inevitability.

Argument |
Kathy Huang
A woman holds a blank sheet of paper as demonstrators protest the deaths caused by an apartment complex fire in Urumqi, Xinjiang, China, at the Langson Library on the campus of the University of California, Irvine.
A woman holds a blank sheet of paper as demonstrators protest the deaths caused by an apartment complex fire in Urumqi, Xinjiang, China, at the Langson Library on the campus of the University of California, Irvine.

What Xi’s Zero-COVID Fiasco Might Mean for China and the World

Protests spotlight the regime's misguided approach to the pandemic and lackluster vaccination campaign.

Insider |
Cameron Abadi
Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks with with South African President Cyril Ramaphosa and Senegalese President Macky Sall.
Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks with with South African President Cyril Ramaphosa and Senegalese President Macky Sall.

Biden’s Big Africa Summit Carefully Sidesteps China

In a U-turn from the Trump administration, Team Biden wants to court African nations without talking about Beijing.

Report |
Robbie Gramer
A person stands in front of a store with a #BOYCOTT QATAR 2022 banner. The Q is drawn with a soccer ball and a chain.
A person stands in front of a store with a #BOYCOTT QATAR 2022 banner. The Q is drawn with a soccer ball and a chain.

Why Human Rights Criticism Often Backfires

Shaming countries over human rights abuses is unavoidable. But there are better ways to do it.

Argument |
Jamie Gruffydd-Jones
A protester participates in a rally in Beijing.
A protester participates in a rally in Beijing.

China’s Protests Punch a Hole in Xi’s Credibility

A new wave of social unrest may be here.

Argument |
Deng Yuwen
Protesters hold up pieces of A4 paper in China.
Protesters hold up pieces of A4 paper in China.

What Sparked China’s Weekend of Anger?

Experts discuss the roots of China’s protests.

ChinaFile |
ChinaFile Contributors
A screen shows a news broadcast featuring former Chinese leader Jiang Zemin in Beijing on Nov. 30.
A screen shows a news broadcast featuring former Chinese leader Jiang Zemin in Beijing on Nov. 30.

What Jiang Zemin’s Death Means for the CCP

The former leader’s mourning period creates an opportunity for public gathering—and political plotting.

China Brief |
James Palmer
Jiang Zemin stands in the Rose Garden of the White House.
Jiang Zemin stands in the Rose Garden of the White House.

Jiang Zemin Helped China Become a Global Powerhouse

With a steady hand—and some willingness to face criticism—he ushered China into the world economy.

Obituary |
Victor Shih
Police keep watch on a road in Beijing.
Police keep watch on a road in Beijing.

China’s Police Are Catching Up to Protesters

An initially soft approach was probably due to confusion, not policy.

Report |
Special Correspondent
Protesters hold up white paper as a symbol against censorship during a protest in Beijing.
Protesters hold up white paper as a symbol against censorship during a protest in Beijing.

Will China’s Protests Survive?

A nationwide movement of this scale has no post-1989 precedent.

Explainer |
James Palmer
Protesters march during a rally against China's harsh COVID-19 restrictions in Beijing on Nov. 28.
Protesters march during a rally against China's harsh COVID-19 restrictions in Beijing on Nov. 28.

China’s Massive Protests Are the End of a Once-Trusted Governance Model

Local tools of party power have been overwhelmed by zero-COVID.

Argument |
Lynette H. Ong
A woman with her arms raised holds up a blank white sheet of paper while a man nearby holds a megaphone to his mouth.
A woman with her arms raised holds up a blank white sheet of paper while a man nearby holds a megaphone to his mouth.

Xi’s Obsession With Control Produced China’s Protests

This challenge to the Chinese Communist Party and the state has been building for some time.

Argument |
Howard W. French
Power-Broker-Robert-Moses-Robert-Caro-China-illustration
Power-Broker-Robert-Moses-Robert-Caro-China-illustration

Beijing’s Power Brokers Wouldn’t Surprise Robert Moses

An American classic offers fresh insights into China.

Review |
Bob Davis
An epidemic control worker stands in a nearly empty street in Beijing’s Central Business District on Nov. 23.
An epidemic control worker stands in a nearly empty street in Beijing’s Central Business District on Nov. 23.

New Outbreaks Test China’s Appetite for Reopening

Rising cases have reversed recent changes to the zero-COVID policy, putting cities back under semi-lockdown.

China Brief |
James Palmer
A woman walks past a promotional installation for this year's World Cup soccer tournament, which is being held in Qatar, at a shopping mall in Beijing on Nov. 17.
A woman walks past a promotional installation for this year's World Cup soccer tournament, which is being held in Qatar, at a shopping mall in Beijing on Nov. 17.

Chinese Firms Are at the World Cup, but Not Chinese Fans

A soccer-loving nation is isolated from the global sport.

Analysis |
Jonathan White
A man in a hard hat watches a conveyor belt loaded with bright blue chunks of raw cobalt.
A man in a hard hat watches a conveyor belt loaded with bright blue chunks of raw cobalt.

How to Avoid a New Cold War Over Critical Minerals

To prevent a return to the zero-sum logic of Cold War resource politics, critical mineral supply chains must be widened at every step.

Argument |
Cullen Hendrix
U.S. President Joe Biden holds a semiconductor during his remarks before signing an executive order on the economy in the State Dining Room of the White House in Washington, D.C.
U.S. President Joe Biden holds a semiconductor during his remarks before signing an executive order on the economy in the State Dining Room of the White House in Washington, D.C.

How the U.S.-Chinese Technology War Is Changing the World

Washington’s crackdown on technology access is creating a new kind of global conflict.

Excerpt |
Agathe Demarais
U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping meet.
U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping meet.

Will the G-20 Lead to More Engagement With China?

The inside track on the week’s biggest diplomatic gathering.

Insider |
Ravi Agrawal
U.S. President Joe Biden shakes hands with Chinese President Xi Jinping
U.S. President Joe Biden shakes hands with Chinese President Xi Jinping

On a U.S.-China Détente, Don’t Believe the Hype

Smiles and handshakes won’t erase Taiwan tensions.

Argument |
Howard W. French
U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping
U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping

Did the Xi-Biden Summit Cool Tensions?

Taiwan remains the biggest challenge to the U.S.-China relationship.

China Brief |
James Palmer
A U.S. submarine and aircraft carrier join South Korean and Japanese warships during naval exercises in the Sea of Japan on Sept. 30.
A U.S. submarine and aircraft carrier join South Korean and Japanese warships during naval exercises in the Sea of Japan on Sept. 30.

Why Japan Should Join AUKUS

Tokyo has become an indispensable security actor in the Indo-Pacific.

Argument |
Michael Auslin
U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping shake hands.
U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping shake hands.

Xi-Biden Meeting May Help End China’s Destructive Isolation

Beijing has become dangerously locked off from the world.

Argument |
Scott Kennedy
Chinese President Xi Jinping welcomes German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in Beijing on Nov. 4.
Chinese President Xi Jinping welcomes German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in Beijing on Nov. 4.

Secure at Home, Xi Steps Back Onto the Global Stage

The Chinese leader met Olaf Scholz last week before appearances in Indonesia and Thailand later this month.

China Brief |
James Palmer
People in light blue shirts that say "FREE UYGHUR" and flags stand in front of a building.
People in light blue shirts that say "FREE UYGHUR" and flags stand in front of a building.

How to Stop China Killing Human Rights at the U.N.

The Uyghur people and the human rights system depend on principled states taking action.

Argument |
Kelley E. Currie
A disinfectant worker waits outside of a high-speed train.
A disinfectant worker waits outside of a high-speed train.

China’s Zero-COVID Policies Are Stirring Xenophobia

Anti-foreign language has become part of disease control.

Argument |
Amanda Florian
An illustration shows the Yongzheng emperor dressed in exquisite attire and seated on a throne-like chair.
An illustration shows the Yongzheng emperor dressed in exquisite attire and seated on a throne-like chair.

What China’s Past Can Tell Us About Xi’s Future

In Chinese history, long-term emperors and generalissimos have been far more common than rules-bound leaders.

Analysis |
Howard W. French
Then-Vice President Xi Jinping attends the closing of the National People's Congress at the Great Hall of the People.
Then-Vice President Xi Jinping attends the closing of the National People's Congress at the Great Hall of the People.

Xi’s First Steps in Power Signaled His Political Turn

Elites were uncertain about the new leader’s growing power.

Excerpt |
Jeremy Wallace
People visit the Bund promenade with the financial district of Lujiazui in the background in Shanghai on Oct. 24.
People visit the Bund promenade with the financial district of Lujiazui in the background in Shanghai on Oct. 24.

China’s Markets React to Xi’s Third Term

Chinese stocks tumbled after the Party Congress, but with no clear reopening plan, Beijing has bigger economic problems.

China Brief |
James Palmer
An employee makes chips at a Jiejie Microelectronics factory in Nantong, in China's Jiangsu province, on March 17, 2021.
An employee makes chips at a Jiejie Microelectronics factory in Nantong, in China's Jiangsu province, on March 17, 2021.

America’s Risky New China Policy

Washington has a bold plan to restrict Beijing’s semiconductor imports. The world needs to talk about it.

Insider |
Ravi Agrawal
Chinese President Xi Jinping waves at press in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on Oct. 23.
Chinese President Xi Jinping waves at press in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on Oct. 23.

Zero-COVID Is the Least of Xi’s Economic Problems

Markets melted down after China’s 20th Party Congress.

Analysis |
Zongyuan Zoe Liu
A large screen displays China's President Xi Jinping during a virtual summit with United States President Joe Biden on November 16, 2021 in Beijing.
A large screen displays China's President Xi Jinping during a virtual summit with United States President Joe Biden on November 16, 2021 in Beijing.

Xi’s China Is Good—and Bad—for the United States

The strategic implications of the 20th Party Congress cut in two different directions.

Argument |
Stephen M. Walt
U.S. President Joe Biden speaks during an event on Micron's plan to invest in chips manufacturing.
U.S. President Joe Biden speaks during an event on Micron's plan to invest in chips manufacturing.

Biden Short-Circuits China

The latest U.S. moves undermine China’s ability to import, manufacture, and export the semiconductors that run the world.

Analysis |
Rishi Iyengar
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping shake hands at the start of the Belt and Road Forum in Beijing, on May 15, 2017.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping shake hands at the start of the Belt and Road Forum in Beijing, on May 15, 2017.

How Putin and Xi Are Trying to Break Global Human Rights

In their own way, Russia and China are threatening the world’s system for defending human rights.

Analysis |
Kenneth Roth
China-ccp-standing-committee-HP
China-ccp-standing-committee-HP

Who’s Who on the New CCP Standing Committee

The most important leaders in China know how to follow orders.

China Brief |
James Palmer
U.S. President Joe Biden and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen meet.
U.S. President Joe Biden and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen meet.

Europe and America Are Moving Closer on China

Negative views of Beijing are growing—as is limited support for Taiwan.

Analysis |
Julia Pallanch, Bonnie S. Glaser
Chinese President Xi Jinping waves at the Great Hall of the People.
Chinese President Xi Jinping waves at the Great Hall of the People.

In China, It’s One Man, One Ideology, One Party

Xi Jinping’s unified vision is taking the country into a dead end.

Argument |
Henry Gao
Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks at a podium.
Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks at a podium.

China Has Entered ‘Maximum Xi’

Three experts offer takeaways from the 20th Party Congress.

Insider |
Ravi Agrawal
People line up for a nucleic acid test in Beijing.
People line up for a nucleic acid test in Beijing.

Young Chinese Are Despairing of a Zero-COVID Future

Draconian policies leave little economic or political hope.

Argument |
Tracy Wen Liu
Hu Jintao reaches down to touch Xi Jinping's shoulder as Hu is escorted from the hall.
Hu Jintao reaches down to touch Xi Jinping's shoulder as Hu is escorted from the hall.

The Hu Jintao Drama Reveals Beijing’s Fundamental Flaw

Leninist systems, it turns out, are inherently unstable.

Analysis |
Howard W. French
Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping during a military parade on May 9, 2015 in Moscow.
Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping during a military parade on May 9, 2015 in Moscow.

Russia’s Ukraine Disaster Exposes China’s Military Weakness

Beijing knows its own military has much in common with Moscow's ineffective force.

Analysis |
Tai Ming Cheung
Chinese President Xi Jinping (left) looks on as former President Hu Jintao is escorted from the closing session of the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on Oct. 22.
Chinese President Xi Jinping (left) looks on as former President Hu Jintao is escorted from the closing session of the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on Oct. 22.

What the Heck Just Happened to Hu Jintao?

Xi Jinping’s predecessor was forcibly led away from the Party Congress.

Analysis |
James Palmer
Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks during the opening session of the 20th Chinese Communist Party Congress at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, on Oct. 16.
Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks during the opening session of the 20th Chinese Communist Party Congress at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, on Oct. 16.

Xi’s Third Term Is a Gift in Disguise

With China’s leader, what you see is what you get. That’s good news for Western policymakers.

Analysis |
Craig Singleton
People watch the opening session of the 20th Chinese National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party in Huaibei, China, on Oct. 16.
People watch the opening session of the 20th Chinese National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party in Huaibei, China, on Oct. 16.

What Did Xi Say at China’s 20th Party Congress?

The Chinese leader received rapturous applause during his opening speech, but he didn’t offer a clear plan for confronting ongoing crises.

China Brief |
James Palmer
Armed Chinese police stand guard at Tiananmen Square.
Armed Chinese police stand guard at Tiananmen Square.

Afghan Militants Have China in Their Crosshairs

New Islamic State rhetoric targets Chinese imperialism.

Analysis |
Haiyun Ma
A collage of Chinese President Xi Jinping, the CCP Party Congress, and academia and industry.
A collage of Chinese President Xi Jinping, the CCP Party Congress, and academia and industry.

Who Are Xi’s Enemies?

As he consolidates power, China’s leader faces a wide but hapless opposition.

Analysis |
Deng Yuwen
A man rests in front of a poster of former Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping in Shenzhen, China.
A man rests in front of a poster of former Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping in Shenzhen, China.

The 1980s Are Buried but Not Dead in China

A new history explores an intense period of hope, reform, and death.

Review |
Julia Lovell
A paramilitary police officer stands guard in front of a portrait of late communist leader Mao Zedong on Tiananmen Square in Beijing.
A paramilitary police officer stands guard in front of a portrait of late communist leader Mao Zedong on Tiananmen Square in Beijing.

Xi’s Grand Industrial Ambitions Are Likely to Flop

A legacy of mistrust hampers the Chinese leader’s decision-making.

Argument |
Christopher Marquis
Staff members wearing personal protective equipment spray disinfectant outside a shopping mall in China.
Staff members wearing personal protective equipment spray disinfectant outside a shopping mall in China.

Does China’s Economy Keep Xi Awake at Night?

As the Party Congress gathers, experts discuss the country’s prospects.

ChinaFile |
ChinaFile Contributors
Pro-democracy protesters are arrested by police in Hong Kong in protest of China's new security legislation.
Pro-democracy protesters are arrested by police in Hong Kong in protest of China's new security legislation.

Will Xi’s Paranoia Defeat Him?

The Chinese leader has taken security worries to a new level.

Excerpt |
Susan Shirk
China's President Xi Jinping during the 13th National People's Congress in 2018.
China's President Xi Jinping during the 13th National People's Congress in 2018.

The Party Elders Who May Challenge Xi

Succession has always been the Chinese Communists’ Achilles’s heel.

Analysis |
Melinda Liu
Xi holds an umbrella in the rain as he walks past a soldier.
Xi holds an umbrella in the rain as he walks past a soldier.

Xi Jinping’s Moment of Economic Reckoning

The Chinese president faces tough choices on how to restore the country’s economic momentum.

Argument |
Howard W. French
China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi answers a question during a video news conference as part of the National People's Congress in 2021.
China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi answers a question during a video news conference as part of the National People's Congress in 2021.

China’s Foreign Ministry Reshuffle Could Shift Its Global Approach

Who’s in and who’s out after the Party Congress may affect diplomacy.

Analysis |
Allison Lapehn
Visitors look at a painting depicting Chinese President Xi Jinping at an exhibit celebrating the 100th anniversary of the founding of the Chinese Communist Party at the National Art Museum of China in Beijing on June 23, 2021.
Visitors look at a painting depicting Chinese President Xi Jinping at an exhibit celebrating the 100th anniversary of the founding of the Chinese Communist Party at the National Art Museum of China in Beijing on June 23, 2021.

What Xi’s First Decade Tells Us About the Next

Bottom line: The world should prepare for a bumpy ride.

Analysis |
Jo Inge Bekkevold
Party members walk by an image showing Chinese President Xi Jinping at an exhibition highlighting his years as leader as part of the upcoming 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party on Oct. 12 in Beijing.
Party members walk by an image showing Chinese President Xi Jinping at an exhibition highlighting his years as leader as part of the upcoming 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party on Oct. 12 in Beijing.

What to Expect at China’s 20th Party Congress

The first thing to understand about the event is that the internal power struggles have already happened.

China Brief |
James Palmer
U.S. Vice President Joe Biden lectures at Sichuan University during his visit to Chengdu, China, on Aug. 21, 2011.
U.S. Vice President Joe Biden lectures at Sichuan University during his visit to Chengdu, China, on Aug. 21, 2011.

Biden Is Now All-In on Taking Out China

The U.S. president has committed to rapid decoupling, whatever the consequences.

Analysis |
Jon Bateman
china-brief-newsletter-james-palmer-3-2
china-brief-newsletter-james-palmer-3-2

China Brief Live Q&A: Your Questions on the 20th Party Congress and China’s Future, Answered

A space for subscribers to submit questions to deputy editor James Palmer.

Comments |
FP Staff
A man films screens demonstrating Baidu’s Apollo Go self-driving taxi service at the company’s Apollo Park testing site in Beijing, on April 22.
A man films screens demonstrating Baidu’s Apollo Go self-driving taxi service at the company’s Apollo Park testing site in Beijing, on April 22.

Washington Raises Stakes in War on Chinese Technology

New U.S. sanctions are in some ways more restrictive than Cold-War era controls.

Analysis |
Edward Alden
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jingping
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jingping

Russia and China Can’t Get Anyone to Like Them

Beijing and Moscow are failing to produce soft power. But do they really want it?

Argument |
Christopher Walker
President Xi Jinping is welcomed by his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin
President Xi Jinping is welcomed by his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin

How Far Will Xi Go to Help a Desperate Putin?

Cracks have emerged in their marriage of convenience, but the two autocrats are in it for the long haul.

Analysis |
Craig Singleton
China-brief-book-roundup
China-brief-book-roundup

8 Books to Read Ahead of China’s 20th Party Congress

These picks each offer piercing insight into how Chinese politics really works.

China Brief |
James Palmer
India Prime Minister Narendra Modi talks with China's President Xi Jinping
India Prime Minister Narendra Modi talks with China's President Xi Jinping

What Accounts for the Economic Gap Between China and India?

The world’s two most populous countries had similar starting points, but China has outpaced India across the board.

Insider |
Cameron Abadi
A Taiwanese frigate launches a U.S.-made Standard missile.
A Taiwanese frigate launches a U.S.-made Standard missile.

The Russian Warship and the South China Sea

What lessons does the sinking of the Moskva have for Taiwan?

Argument |
Alexander Wooley
Chinese President Xi Jinping attends the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation leaders' summit in Samarkand, Uzbekistan, on Sept. 16.
Chinese President Xi Jinping attends the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation leaders' summit in Samarkand, Uzbekistan, on Sept. 16.

What a False Coup Rumor Reveals About Chinese Politics

A baseless story briefly went viral, showing how much of the world misunderstands Beijing’s inner workings.

China Brief |
James Palmer
An older man walks past a mural of Maoist hero Lei Feng
An older man walks past a mural of Maoist hero Lei Feng

China’s War on History Is Growing

The government is inviting snitches to report on “historical nihilism.”

Argument |
Johanna M. Costigan
People line up to be tested for COVID-19 next to a propaganda poster showing Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on Aug. 31.
People line up to be tested for COVID-19 next to a propaganda poster showing Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on Aug. 31.

Bus Crash Amplifies Zero-COVID Frustration

Discontent with the restrictive policy seems to serve as a proxy for discontent with Xi Jinping’s government itself.

China Brief |
James Palmer
A Chinese bank employee counts 100-yuan notes and U.S. dollar bills
A Chinese bank employee counts 100-yuan notes and U.S. dollar bills

China Is Quietly Trying to Dethrone the Dollar

Regional groups and small banks are helping insulate Beijing against sanctions.

Argument |
Zongyuan Zoe Liu
Workers transfer goods at a port in China amid an ongoing trade war with the United States.
Workers transfer goods at a port in China amid an ongoing trade war with the United States.

Who’s Winning the U.S.-China Trade War? No One

With no end in sight, nationalism is trumping economic wisdom as global recession looms.

Deep Dive |
Michael Hirsh
China's President Xi Jinping, Russian President Vladimir Putin, Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev and other participants attend the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) leaders' summit in Samarkand, Uzbekistan on Sept. 16.
China's President Xi Jinping, Russian President Vladimir Putin, Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev and other participants attend the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) leaders' summit in Samarkand, Uzbekistan on Sept. 16.

Why Xi Jinping Chose Central Asia for His First Post-COVID-19 Trip

The region has long served as a testing ground for Beijing’s economic and foreign-policy ambitions and is becoming increasingly close to China.

Analysis |
Raffaello Pantucci
Xi and Putin stand side by side in suits in front of flags.
Xi and Putin stand side by side in suits in front of flags.

Putin Panders to China

The Russian leader revealed that Xi has concerns over the war in Ukraine.

Situation Report |
Jack Detsch, Robbie Gramer
Chinese President Xi Jinping leaves the podium following his speech in Hong Kong on July 1.
Chinese President Xi Jinping leaves the podium following his speech in Hong Kong on July 1.

Homebody Xi Finally Steps Outside China

The Chinese leader’s first overseas trip since January 2020 takes him to Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, where he’ll meet his Russian counterpart.

China Brief |
James Palmer
People in orange vests load missiles onto a fighter jet.
People in orange vests load missiles onto a fighter jet.

Taiwan’s New Status Quo

A top lawmaker says China’s game plan is to blockade the island and stop allies from helping out.

Situation Report |
Jack Detsch
People walk in front of a residential area under lockdown due to COVID-19 restrictions in Beijing on June 23.
People walk in front of a residential area under lockdown due to COVID-19 restrictions in Beijing on June 23.

China’s COVID-19 Stagnation Has No End in Sight

The endless cycle of lockdowns will likely lead to long-lasting political and economic consequences.

China Brief |
James Palmer
Russian President Vladimir Putin, Chinese President Xi Jinping, and then-Iranian President Hassan Rouhani attend a meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, on June 14, 2019.
Russian President Vladimir Putin, Chinese President Xi Jinping, and then-Iranian President Hassan Rouhani attend a meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, on June 14, 2019.

How Beijing Benefits From a New Iran Deal

The nuclear agreement could unleash Chinese activity in the Gulf and complicate U.S. goals in the Indo-Pacific.

Analysis |
Craig Singleton
A Chinese Communist Party flag is seen next to a health worker wearing protective clothing as a worker registers for a COVID-19 test at a makeshift testing site in Beijing on April 28.
A Chinese Communist Party flag is seen next to a health worker wearing protective clothing as a worker registers for a COVID-19 test at a makeshift testing site in Beijing on April 28.

The Chinese Public Doesn’t Know What the Rules Are Anymore

Reckless policies have knocked out established norms.

Argument |
Helen Gao
A worker climbs through a copper and cobalt mine, materials used in production of electric cars, in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
A worker climbs through a copper and cobalt mine, materials used in production of electric cars, in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

What Do Electric Cars Really Cost?

“Volt Rush” examines the price of a dirty green business—and China’s role.

Review |
Bob Davis
A mural depicting a female saint-like figure holding a Javelin missile is shown on the side of an apartment block.
A mural depicting a female saint-like figure holding a Javelin missile is shown on the side of an apartment block.

How to Teach Beijing a Lesson in Ukraine

What China learns from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will inform its decision-making on Taiwan.

Argument |
Robert C. O’Brien
Biden, Xi hold virtual summit
Biden, Xi hold virtual summit

Biden-Xi Meeting Unlikely to Halt U.S.-Chinese Slide

Compromise is becoming increasingly difficult—especially over Taiwan.

Analysis |
James Crabtree
Two people on a makeshift raft during flooding in Pakistan
Two people on a makeshift raft during flooding in Pakistan

Extreme Weather Is Brutalizing Asia

Floods, droughts, tropical storms, and heat waves are severely testing the resilience of a region with a lot of vulnerable people.

Report |
Mary Yang
An illustration of China on the precipice of decline as a great power.
An illustration of China on the precipice of decline as a great power.

Is China Declining?

Experts debate the country’s trajectory.

Flash Points |
FP Contributors
A Taiwanese military outpost on Shi islet is seen past anti-landing spikes placed along the coast of Lieyu island on Taiwan’s Kinmen islands, which lie just 2 miles from the coast of mainland China, on Aug. 10.
A Taiwanese military outpost on Shi islet is seen past anti-landing spikes placed along the coast of Lieyu island on Taiwan’s Kinmen islands, which lie just 2 miles from the coast of mainland China, on Aug. 10.

We’re Still Asking the Wrong Questions About War With China Over Taiwan

The priority is not who would win a war over Taiwan, but how to prevent one in the first place.

Argument |
Howard W. French
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi takes part in a press conference on the sidelines of the East Asia Summit Foreign Ministers' Meeting in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, on Aug. 5.
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi takes part in a press conference on the sidelines of the East Asia Summit Foreign Ministers' Meeting in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, on Aug. 5.

Beijing’s Diplomacy Suffers in Europe

Estonia and Latvia are the latest countries to back out of a forum with China, undermining its efforts on the continent.

China Brief |
James Palmer
Chinese President Xi Jinping in front of a Chinese flag at a ceremony in Hong Kong.
Chinese President Xi Jinping in front of a Chinese flag at a ceremony in Hong Kong.

What Does China Want?

Beijing’s ambitions are about to crash into its problems.

Excerpt |
Hal Brands, Michael Beckley
A Taiwanese military outpost is seen beyond anti-landing spikes along the coast in Kinmen, Taiwan, on Aug. 10.
A Taiwanese military outpost is seen beyond anti-landing spikes along the coast in Kinmen, Taiwan, on Aug. 10.

Why Doesn’t China Invade Taiwan?

Despite Beijing’s rhetoric, a full-scale invasion remains a risky endeavor—and officials think the island can be coerced into reunification.

China Brief |
James Palmer
Two men walk past a row of guards in uniform.
Two men walk past a row of guards in uniform.

Chinese Police Could Crush Solomon Islands Opposition

Government critics fear security pact consequences.

Report |
Emanuel Stoakes
Two unidentified military vessels off Taiwan
Two unidentified military vessels off Taiwan

Beijing’s Taiwan Aggression Has Backfired in Tokyo

Military exercises have stiffened Japanese resolve.

Analysis |
William Sposato
A Chinese military vessel sails off Pingtan Island, one of China's closest points to Taiwan, on Aug. 5.
A Chinese military vessel sails off Pingtan Island, one of China's closest points to Taiwan, on Aug. 5.

China’s Military Exercises Aren’t a Crisis—Yet

Analysts have been keen to make comparisons to tensions in 1996.

Argument |
Lev Nachman
A propaganda poster from the 1960s shows Chinese leader Mao Zedong.
A propaganda poster from the 1960s shows Chinese leader Mao Zedong.

Xi’s Great Leap Backward

Beijing is running out of recipes for its looming jobs crisis—and reviving Mao-era policies.

Analysis |
Craig Singleton
Pelosi waves standing in a group of people, all wearing masks.
Pelosi waves standing in a group of people, all wearing masks.

China Responds to Pelosi’s Taiwan Trip

Many on social media expressed anger that the government hadn’t followed through on its fiery rhetoric.

China Brief |
James Palmer
A worker carries a part at an electric automobile factory in Haiphong, Vietnam.
A worker carries a part at an electric automobile factory in Haiphong, Vietnam.

Companies Are Fleeing China for Friendlier Shores

“Friendshoring” is the new trend as geopolitics bites.

Argument |
Elisabeth Braw
An Afghan security guard stands in front of the Chinese Embassy in Kabul.
An Afghan security guard stands in front of the Chinese Embassy in Kabul.

China Is Doomed to Play a Significant Role in Afghanistan

Beijing is desperate to avoid being trapped in Kabul’s politics.

Excerpt |
Raffaello Pantucci, Alexandros Petersen
A collage image that includes Xi Jinping, pandas, a dragon, tanks, Chairman Mao, surveillance cameras, and other nationalist Chinese iconography.
A collage image that includes Xi Jinping, pandas, a dragon, tanks, Chairman Mao, surveillance cameras, and other nationalist Chinese iconography.

China Illustrations Need More Than Dragons, Pandas, and Propaganda

Editorial imagery often recycles stereotypes and ignores Chinese life.

Argument |
Selina Lee, Ramona Li
A photo taken on October 21, 2020 shows a tourist walking past a mural painted on a wall on Taiwan's Kinmen islands, which lie just two miles from mainland China's coast.
A photo taken on October 21, 2020 shows a tourist walking past a mural painted on a wall on Taiwan's Kinmen islands, which lie just two miles from mainland China's coast.

What Does the Pelosi Taiwan Uproar Mean for U.S. China Policy?

The controversy over Nancy Pelosi’s proposed trip highlights the contradictions of U.S. policy toward the island.

It's Debatable |
Emma Ashford, Matthew Kroenig
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A tank fires at Russian positions near Kreminna in the Lugansk region of Ukraine on Jan. 12. ANATOLII STEPANOV/AFP via Getty Images
A tank fires at Russian positions near Kreminna in the Lugansk region of Ukraine on Jan. 12. ANATOLII STEPANOV/AFP via Getty Images

Ukraine’s Battlefield Dynamics

April 6, 2023  |  12:00pm ET
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Russia has gone from one mobilization to the next, burning through equipment and ammunition faster than it can replace it—even resorting to the recruitment of prisoners to fight its drawn-...Show moreout war in Ukraine. Meanwhile, Kyiv has received a major infusion of military aid from the West in the last three months. What are its chances of success in a forthcoming offensive? Join FP’s Ravi Agrawal for a discussion with James Stavridis, a retired four-star U.S. Navy admiral and NATO supreme allied commander. Tune in for a wide-ranging discussion on Russia and Ukraine’s military options; the respective roles of Europe, the United States, and China; and mo