Behind the Numbers

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The GNOE’s Last Hurrah

Surprise -- there are limits to how well politics and economics can predict World Cup matches.

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Why Is This World Cup So Awesome?

Hint: It’s the goals. But that's not the whole story.

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Group Stage Wrap: The GNOE Returns

Our nothing-to-do-with-soccer World Cup predictor was, ahem, quite profitable.

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Why Moneyball Doesn’t Work at the World Cup

Forget big data -- measuring performance during this tournament is a losing battle.

GRAPHICS: Emma Carew Grovum for FP

Where to Invest Around the World, 2014 Edition

Welcome to this year’s Baseline Profitability Index.


The Cairo Consensus

Will Egyptian voters cast their ballot against the United States and Israel?

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The OBL Blowback

Is Obama's chest thumping a turnoff?

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The New, New World Order

Do Americans still hate the United Nations?

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Politics at the Pump

Why do domestic politicians pay the price for a global problem?

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Romney’s Hill to Climb

If Romney thinks he can beat Obama on foreign policy, he's going to have to do a whole lot more than just criticize the president.

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Hearts and Minds

As of late 2010, a higher percentage of Afghans than Americans supported the war there. But is that support eroding?

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Persian Mathematics

Despite the Republican claims that Obama's Iran policy is weak-kneed, the American public generally supports his wait-and-see approach. That is, of course, unless it doesn't work.

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A Threat We Can Live With

Most Americans really don’t like North Korea, but few say it’s worth going to war to make them get rid of their nuclear weapons.

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Asking the Right Question

Why are polls so all over the map when it comes to bombing Iran?

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One Nation Under God

With Obama’s contraceptive plan putting him in hot water, how much does religion really matter at the ballot box?


Don’t Count on a Syria Intervention

In the end, Americans just aren't interested in getting involved in promoting democracy overseas.

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The Bin Laden Bounce

Does killing bad guys really help at the ballot box?

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Home Front

The presidency will be won or lost on the strength of the economy, but some surprising international issues may mix things up.


Radioactive Politics

Why President Obama might be in serious trouble when it comes to his handling of Iran’s nuclear ambitions.

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Taking Swings at China

Does it really work to use Beijing as a political punching bag?

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Little Trouble in Big China

Did Jon Huntsman waste his time as ambassador in Beijing?


La Gran Problema

The GOP trouble with courting Hispanics is bigger than ever.


Fear Factor

Are Republican voters as concerned about Iran and radical Islam as their candidates?

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