The U.S. Can Deter Iran but Not Its Proxies
Rash action by Tehran-connected groups could provoke an escalatory cycle.
The Fire in Syria Is Shedding Light on the United States
There’s only one positive aspect to the disaster in Syria: It’s forcing an overdue conversation about U.S. grand strategy.
The Lessons of 1944 Are in Jeopardy
Seventy-five years after D-Day, the United States should remember that on-the-ground leadership still works.
5 Very Important Things About the World Nobody Knows
The future will be determined by a handful of big questions that don’t yet have answers.
Scandinavia Won’t Be Russia’s Next Target
Mikheil Saakashvili’s country was a victim of Putin’s aggression. Finland and Sweden won’t be.
Russia’s Next Land Grab Won’t Be in an Ex-Soviet State. It Will Be in Europe.
First he came for Georgia, then for Ukraine. Vladimir Putin’s next target is likely to be a non-NATO nation in the EU.
Don’t Believe the Russian Hype
Moscow’s missile capabilities in the Baltic Sea region are not nearly as dangerous as they seem.
Whoever Predicts the Future Will Win the AI Arms Race
China, Russia, and the United States are approaching the long-term strategic potential of artificial intelligence very differently. The country that gets it right will reap huge military benefits.
Why America Lost in Afghanistan
Successive U.S. administrations failed to heed the lessons of a forgotten counterinsurgency success story from Vietnam.
Goodbye Grotius, Hello Putin
Russia’s provocations in the Kerch Strait aren’t just a challenge to Ukraine. Like Beijing in the South China Sea, Moscow is seeking to undermine international maritime law.
In Cyberwar, There Are Some (Unspoken) Rules
A recent article argues that the lack of legal norms invites cyberconflict. But governments know the price of overreach and are refraining from unleashing their full capabilities.
Don’t Let the U.S.-Japanese Alliance Get Out of Shape
Joint military exercises have kept the relationship strong despite Trump, but that could soon change.
Planning for the Post-Trump Wreckage
When the president eventually exits the White House, the rest of us will quickly have to make sense of the world he's left behind.
What’s Driving the U.S. Air Force Pilot Shortage?
It’s not leadership or combat culture driving pilots out of the service.
The Afghan War Isn’t Being Won, Says New Pentagon Audit
A new summary of the country’s troubles by a special inspector general doesn’t paint an optimistic picture.
I’m Sorry for Creating the ‘Gerasimov Doctrine’
I was the first to write about Russia’s infamous high-tech military strategy. One small problem: it doesn't exist.
The Military’s ‘Readiness’ Scam Worked Again
The Pentagon always complains for more money – and politicians always eventually give in.
The World Doesn’t Need Any More Nuclear Strategies
The Trump administration’s Nuclear Posture Review answers questions nobody should be asking.