Micah Cohen, Nate Silver, and Harry Enten

Polling Has a 98 Percent Chance of Being Bad for You

It’s not the accuracy of the polls that matters, it’s their ubiquity.

Chinese Premier Lie Keqiang and Australian then-Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull during a state visit in Sydney on Mar. 25, 2017.

China Learns the Hard Way That Money Can’t Buy You Love

Few countries have soured more rapidly against China than Australia, as decades of influence-building by Beijing come to naught.

Supporters of U.S. President Donald Trump gather outside Walter Reed National Military Medical Center in Bethesda, Maryland, on Oct. 5.

Trump, COVID-19, and the Future of International Order

In a new survey, international relations experts are pessimistic about the years to come.

An armed security guard stands on the rooftop of a hotel, next to letters covered in snow reading “Davos,” ahead of the opening of the 2018 World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, on Jan. 22, 2018.

The Global Trust Crisis

World leaders at venues like Davos need to start taking the public’s declining faith in institutions seriously—or face more upheaval to come.

A pro-Trump message on a house in the village of Doonbeg in County Clare, Ireland, on the main road to Trump International Golf Club on June 6, 2019.

Trump’s Growing European Base

Attitudes toward the United States are improving across the Atlantic—but only because the right wing is getting stronger.

Followers of Evangelical Pastor John Hagee chant slogans in support of Israel as they wave Israeli and U.S. flags during a rally in Jerusalem on April 7, 2008.

Trump Is Too Pro-Netanyahu for His Own Base

The love affair between the U.S. president and Israeli prime minister might play well at this week’s AIPAC conference, but it doesn’t necessarily reflect Republican voters’ views.

U.S. President Donald Trump and Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu walk outside the Oval Office of the White House on March 5. (Olivier Douliery-Pool/Getty Images)

Americans Are Increasingly Critical of Israel

New polling shows that the U.S. public’s views on Israel’s policies are shifting.

Chinese President Xi, Russian President Vladimir Putin, and U.S. President Donald Trump pose with other Asian leaders during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Danang, Vietnam on Nov. 11, 2017.
(Jorge Silva/AFP/Getty Images)

Putin and Xi Outrank Trump in Global Confidence Poll

Merkel and Macron come out far ahead in a new Pew Research survey.

La France Insoumise (LFI) leftist party's members of parliament, party leader Jean-Luc Melenchon (Front L), Eric Coquerel (2ndL Rear), Daniele Obono (4thL), Alexis Corbiere (6thL), Adrien Quatennens (Top L), Ugo Bernalicis (7thL Rear), Sabine Rubin (2ndL), Francois Ruffin (3rdR), Bastien Lachaud (8thL), Caroline Fiat (L), Mathilde Pano (Second Row, L), Benedicte Taurine (4th L Front) and Loic Prudhomme (2ndR) pose after they arrived at the French National Assembly on June 20, 2017 in Paris for the welcoming of the elected MPs following the announcement of the results of the second round of the French parliamentary elections (elections legislatives in French).  / AFP PHOTO / Martin BUREAU        (Photo credit should read MARTIN BUREAU/AFP/Getty Images)

The EU Is Alive and Well, But the Referendums Are Coming

After the shock of Brexit, the French election has stabilized the patient in Brussels. But most countries still want a say on membership.

MANCHESTER, NH - FEBRUARY 09:  Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump greets people as he visits a polling station as voters cast their primary day ballots on February 9, 2016 in Manchester, New Hampshire. The process to select the next Democratic and Republican Presidential candidates continues.(Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

Surprise: Canadians Fear and Loathe Donald Trump

Most Canadians think that a Trump presidency would be bad for Canada.

Chinese President Xi Jinping tours a 737-800 at the Boeing assembly line in Everett, Washington. Boeing has reached deals with Chinese firms to sell 300 aircraft and set up a completion center in China, state media and its local partner said Wednesday, as President Xi Jinping began a visit to the United States.          AFP PHOTO / POOL / MARK RALSTON

Will Europe and the United States Gang Up on China?

The test of whether to grant Beijing market-economy status may be an interesting clue as to the future of transatlantic relations.


Is There a Way to Solve the American Fight Over Climate Change?

The knock-down, drag-out brawl over global warming in the United States may be daunting, but it's not insurmountable.


What to Expect from Malcolm Turnbull

Where does Australia's new prime minister stand on the country's most contentious issues?

406027 01: Soldiers From India (L) And Pakistan (R) Perform The Elaborate Daily Flag-Lowering Ceremony May 30, 2002 At The Wagah Border Post Near The Pakistani City Of Lahore. Pakistan And India Are Locked In A Tense Border Standoff And Have Amassed Nearly A Million Soldiers Near The 160-Mile Line Of Control In Kashmir. The Loc Has Been The Defacto Border Between The Two Nuclear Powers Since The End Of Their First War In 1948. (Photo By Visual News/Getty Images)

Calling for Peace

Despite renewed tensions between India and Pakistan, public opinion in both countries strongly favors peace.


The Pope Believes in Climate Change (and One Group of Catholics Is Glad to Hear It)

Pope Francis's controversial climate encyclical might tick off American Catholics from Princeton professors to the GOP, but it's right in line with his congregation in Latin America.

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