Robert A. Manning is a distinguished fellow with the Strategic Foresight Hub at the Stimson Center, where he works on its global foresight and China programs.
In a photo released by Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense on May 11, 2018, a Taiwanese Air Force fighter jet flies near a Chinese People's Liberation Army Air Force bomber that reportedly flew over the Luzon Strait south of Taiwan during an exercise.
U.S. President Donald Trump (C), Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe (R), and South Korean President Moon Jae-in (L) pose for photos before attending the Northeast Asia Security Dinner at the U.S. Consulate General in Hamburg, Germany, July 6, 2017.
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, U.S. President Donald Trump and Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull during the South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) summit in Manila on Nov. 13. (Jim Watson/AFP/Getty Images)
General Joseph Dunford (L), the chairman of the US joint chiefs of staff, listens to China's President Xi Jinping during a meeting at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on August 17, 2017. / AFP PHOTO / POOL / Andy Wong (Photo credit should read ANDY WONG/AFP/Getty Images)