Analysis
List of Analysis articles
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A protester flashes victory signs as traffic slows during demonstrations in Hamedan, Iran, on January 1, 2026. The U.S. Military Can’t Fix Iran’s Opposition
Washington can intervene militarily, but any regime change strategy needs to start in Iran itself.
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People are silhouetted in front of a large screen displaying an image of Xi Jinping. How Far Do China’s Ambitions Reach?
The answer is global—and has big implications for U.S. policy.
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Smoke and yellow flames billow from a building in the foreground in this wide shot showing the city skyline of Baghdad at night. Other smaller plumes of smoke rise from buildings nearby, merging into a general haze over the sky, obscuring all stars. Hope Is Not a Policy for Iran
Washington’s record of failed intervention offers an obvious lesson. Trump should heed it.
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U.S. President Donald Trump reviews military troops during the inauguration ceremony at the U.S. Capitol in Washington on Jan. 20, 2025. China Grapples With Trump’s Radical Use of Power
Beijing sees a supreme U.S. military—and draws lessons for gaming Washington.
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Tents in Kyiv provide charging for devices and a space to warm up on Jan. 11, following Russian missile and drone attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure. Frigid Kyiv Kindles a High-Tech Plan to Keep Russia at Bay
AI-powered air defense could counter Moscow’s greatest advantage—and keep Kyiv in the fight.
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Icebergs are seen in the sea as a man walks along a road in Nuuk, Greenland, on March 9, 2025. Trump’s Resource Grabs Don’t Add Up
There is little justification for taking Venezuelan oil or Greenlandic minerals, but the U.S. leader insists.
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A general view of a concrete block marking the "Yellow Line" drawn by the Israeli military in Bureij, central Gaza Strip, on November 4, 2025. Is Israel Annexing More Than Half of Gaza?
The ambiguous meaning of Israel’s new yellow line.
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Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and U.S. President Donald Trump meet at the White House in Washington on July 22, 2025. The Philippines Are in for a Turbulent 2026
Manila takes over the ASEAN chair in what could be a make-or-break year for the bloc.
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Chinese soldiers fire a rocket into the air as they conduct military drills on Pingtan island, the closest point to Taiwan, on Dec. 30, 2025. A Failed Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Would Be Disastrous for Xi Jinping
Beijing’s saber-rattling conceals the real possibility of a loss.
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An illustration shows a silhouetted figure pulling on the spiraling edge of a white column, representing unraveling institutional norms. America’s Drift Toward Constitutional Authoritarianism
Trump has shown how democracy can be neutralized without being destroyed.
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In this black-and-white photo, Teddy Roosevelt points to the middle of South America on a map as another man looks at the map from the other side of it. Both men wear suits, ties, and wire-frame glasses. The ‘Donroe Doctrine’ Is a Roosevelt Redux
Then as now, big stick diplomacy will lead to costly cycles of intervention and retrenchment.
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People view artist Luke Jerram's new 'Floating Earth' Debuts In Wigan on November 18, 2021 in Wigan, England. What Spheres of Influence Are—and Aren’t
One of the most misunderstood concepts of international politics is back with a force.
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Iraqi Kurdish refugees gather in a camp in Zakho, Iraq. A Long History of Betrayal
Why Washington keeps encouraging foreign uprisings—and then walking away.
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People pass by a destroyed building in Tehran on Jan. 10. What Next After Iran’s Massacre?
After killing thousands of protesters, Tehran has no reason to back down.
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A mural depicts President Nicolás Maduro in downtown Caracas, Venezuela, on Jan. 12. Venezuela Is Regime Change Under Another Name
Maduro’s removal is a familiar story, and one that doesn’t end well.