Russia’s War in Ukraine

News, analysis, and background on military campaigns, battlefield technology, and global diplomacy, negotiations, and sanctions.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and U.S. President Donald Trump participate in a meeting in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and U.S. President Donald Trump participate in a meeting in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C.

7 Lingering Questions After the Trump Ukraine Summit

After a flurry of diplomacy, what was actually agreed to?

U.S. President Donald Trump greets Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at the White House in Washington, DC on August 18.
U.S. President Donald Trump greets Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at the White House in Washington, DC on August 18.

Grading Trump’s Ukraine Diplomacy

Key takeaways from a spate of high-level meetings in Alaska and Washington. This article has an audio recording

(First row, from left) Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, French President Emmanuel Macron, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen pose for a family picture during a “coalition of the willing” summit at the Elysee Palace in Paris on March 27.
(First row, from left) Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, French President Emmanuel Macron, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen pose for a family picture during a “coalition of the willing” summit at the Elysee Palace in Paris on March 27.

How Europe Can Pressure Putin—Without Trump

Now that Trump appears to have sworn off additional economic sanctions to push Russia into a cease-fire, Europe may have to go it alone. This article has an audio recording

Battlefield Strategy

Russian soldiers practice marching
Russian soldiers practice marching

Why Don’t Russian Soldiers Revolt?

Astonishing death rates and brutal abuse have not kept troops from following orders.

Soldiers of the 115th Mechanized Brigade in a house where they are staying when not on the front lines near Lyman, Ukraine.
Soldiers of the 115th Mechanized Brigade in a house where they are staying when not on the front lines near Lyman, Ukraine.

The Mood on the Front Line, Three Years On

Ukrainian troops watch with anxiety as the United States moves closer to talks with Russia over the war.

Volunteers and Ukrainian military personnel attend a presentation about radio electronic warfare and intelligence systems made by the Ukrainian company Kvertus in Ukraine’s Lviv region on May 28.
Volunteers and Ukrainian military personnel attend a presentation about radio electronic warfare and intelligence systems made by the Ukrainian company Kvertus in Ukraine’s Lviv region on May 28.

Ukraine’s Pocket-Sized Answer to Russian Drones

Moscow has the upper hand in electronic warfare. Can grassroots-led efforts help Kyiv catch up?

The first batch of the Ukrainian-made Peklo drone missile is delivered to a Ukrainian Armed Forces facility in Kyiv on Dec. 6, 2024.
The first batch of the Ukrainian-made Peklo drone missile is delivered to a Ukrainian Armed Forces facility in Kyiv on Dec. 6, 2024.

The Ukrainians’ New Way of War

The audacious drone attack deep into Russia’s rear fits a larger pattern of wartime innovation.

Wartime Diplomacy

Trump sits on an upholstered chair in the Oval Office, leaning forward slightly as he rests his hands on his knees. Rutte sits in a matching chair next to him, his hand on his chin. Vice President J.D. Vance and others sit on a sofa to the right, microphones on poles hanging over their heads.
Trump sits on an upholstered chair in the Oval Office, leaning forward slightly as he rests his hands on his knees. Rutte sits in a matching chair next to him, his hand on his chin. Vice President J.D. Vance and others sit on a sofa to the right, microphones on poles hanging over their heads.

Do Trump’s Lines in the Sand Mean Anything?

Blustering threats to Putin over Ukraine are reminiscent of Obama’s Syria failure.

NATO military forces during a display to demonstrate NATO’s ability to rapidly deploy forces from Europe, in Smardan, Romania.
NATO military forces during a display to demonstrate NATO’s ability to rapidly deploy forces from Europe, in Smardan, Romania.

It’s Time for a New Trans-Atlantic Bargain

Europe should take primary responsibility for its security, but the United States needs to deliver key assurances to allow such a transition.

U.S. President Donald Trump announces U.S. strikes on Iran with Vice President J.D. Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth standing alongside, at the White House in Washington on June 21.
U.S. President Donald Trump announces U.S. strikes on Iran with Vice President J.D. Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth standing alongside, at the White House in Washington on June 21.

An Emerging Trump Doctrine?

Success in the Middle East could be a template for a new approach to Russia’s war.

Workers construct an outdoor ice skating rink in Red Square in downtown Moscow on Nov. 9, 2021.
Workers construct an outdoor ice skating rink in Red Square in downtown Moscow on Nov. 9, 2021.

What the Next Round of Sanctions Against Russia Should Look Like

Moscow has successfully restructured its economy on an impressive war footing, but there are weaknesses under the hood. This article has an audio recording

Regional Dynamics

U.S. Marines take part in the international military exercise Cold Response 22 near Sandstrand in northern Norway on March 21, 2022.
U.S. Marines take part in the international military exercise Cold Response 22 near Sandstrand in northern Norway on March 21, 2022.

A Russia-NATO War Would Look Nothing Like Ukraine

Moscow will seek to avoid a full-on war and focus on breaking the bloc’s resolve. This article has an audio recording

People walk along a street past a mural dedicated to Oleksandr Khmil, a former hockey player and coach killed in battle against Russian troops, in Kyiv on May 15.
People walk along a street past a mural dedicated to Oleksandr Khmil, a former hockey player and coach killed in battle against Russian troops, in Kyiv on May 15.
A large ship in the ocean
A large ship in the ocean

What Europe Can Do If Trump Drops Russia Sanctions

Europe has much more economic leverage on the Kremlin than Washington.

A worker in a white fireproof smock and face guard is seen from across a room at a factory as they shovel smoldering coals into a massive metal furnace. The room is dim other than the bright light from the furnace and the scattered glow of coal spread across the floor.
A worker in a white fireproof smock and face guard is seen from across a room at a factory as they shovel smoldering coals into a massive metal furnace. The room is dim other than the bright light from the furnace and the scattered glow of coal spread across the floor.

Ukraine Has Become Europe’s Arsenal

The Ukrainian arms industry has kept its own country—and potentially the entire continent—competitive on the battlefield. This article has an audio recording

Latest Stories

A Russian soldier patrols the Mariupol drama theater, bombed by Russia when it housed civilian refugees, in Mariupol, Ukraine, on April 12, 2022.
A Russian soldier patrols the Mariupol drama theater, bombed by Russia when it housed civilian refugees, in Mariupol, Ukraine, on April 12, 2022.

Why We Should Not Bet on a Peaceful Russia

The idea that a deal with Moscow will bring peace in Ukraine is based on very flimsy assumptions.

A member of the private mercenary Wagner Group pays tribute to Yevgeny Prigozhin after his plane crashed at the makeshift memorial in front of the Wagner office in Novosibirsk, Russia.
A member of the private mercenary Wagner Group pays tribute to Yevgeny Prigozhin after his plane crashed at the makeshift memorial in front of the Wagner office in Novosibirsk, Russia.

What’s Next for the Wagner Group?

The infamous Russian mercenary group finds itself without a leader, but still with a mission.

A Wagner fighter pays tribute to Yevgeny Prigozhin and Dmitry Utkin at a makeshift memorial in Rostov-on-Don, Russia.
A Wagner fighter pays tribute to Yevgeny Prigozhin and Dmitry Utkin at a makeshift memorial in Rostov-on-Don, Russia.

A Dead Prigozhin Won’t Stop Tales of a Weak Putin

Interpretations of the Wagner saga are more imaginative than analytical. This article has an audio recording

A screen grab captured from a video shared online shows Yevgeny Prigozhin, the founder of the Russian private security company Wagner Group, in an unspecified location in Africa.
A screen grab captured from a video shared online shows Yevgeny Prigozhin, the founder of the Russian private security company Wagner Group, in an unspecified location in Africa.

Russia’s Murderous Mercenary Prigozhin Is Dead

The Wagner chief’s death in a plane crash was confirmed by Russia’s aviation agency.

A picture taken on July 17 shows a Russian warship sailing near the Kerch Bridge, linking the Russian mainland to Crimea, following an attack claimed by Ukrainian forces.
A picture taken on July 17 shows a Russian warship sailing near the Kerch Bridge, linking the Russian mainland to Crimea, following an attack claimed by Ukrainian forces.

Russia’s Illegal Bridges Have Ukrainian Crosshairs on Them

Kyiv is determined to destroy a major supply line into occupied Crimea.

A woman holding a Ukrainian flag speaks during a pro-Ukraine rally in Brussels.
A woman holding a Ukrainian flag speaks during a pro-Ukraine rally in Brussels.

Ukraine’s Appeals to Europe Can Alienate Others

Rhetoric about “European civilization” clashes with anti-colonial ideals.

A visitor views an exhibit of cluster bomb remnants at the Cooperative Orthotic and Prosthetic Enterprise Visitor Center in Vientiane, Laos, on July 11.
A visitor views an exhibit of cluster bomb remnants at the Cooperative Orthotic and Prosthetic Enterprise Visitor Center in Vientiane, Laos, on July 11.

Ukraine Can Learn From Southeast Asia

Cambodia and Laos have direct experience with the aftermath of U.S. cluster bombs, now deployed on the battlefield in Ukraine.

Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko points while speaking to foreign media. Lukashenko is a large man with white hair and a mustache and wears a dark blue suit as he sits in a chair in front of a Belarusian flag.
Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko points while speaking to foreign media. Lukashenko is a large man with white hair and a mustache and wears a dark blue suit as he sits in a chair in front of a Belarusian flag.

Belarus Is Abducting Ukrainian Children in Plain Sight

A trail of evidence on social networks and state media detail Minsk’s role in a potential war crime

A Ukrainian marine from the 37th Brigade walks past an M109 155 mm self-propelled howitzer at a position in the Donetsk region on July 10, 2023.
A Ukrainian marine from the 37th Brigade walks past an M109 155 mm self-propelled howitzer at a position in the Donetsk region on July 10, 2023.
A man and woman stand in front of a large outdoor wall installation featuring silver-colored plaques inscribed with names.
A man and woman stand in front of a large outdoor wall installation featuring silver-colored plaques inscribed with names.

Russia Is Attempting Genocide in Ukraine

Other states have a legal and moral duty to stop Moscow.

Platoon commanders of Ukraine's National Guard take part in a military training in the Kharkiv region on July 26.
Platoon commanders of Ukraine's National Guard take part in a military training in the Kharkiv region on July 26.

Ukraine Brings the Pain

Kyiv’s forces are finally starting to breach the dragon’s teeth.

Two men wearing military camouflage fatigues and matching hats stand in front of a building with large glass doors labeled with a logo that reads "Wagner Center" in Russian.
Two men wearing military camouflage fatigues and matching hats stand in front of a building with large glass doors labeled with a logo that reads "Wagner Center" in Russian.

Is the Wagner Group a Terrorist Organization?

The answer could have wide-ranging implications for U.S. policy in Africa and beyond

A man walks past the headquarters of the Federal Security Service, the successor agency to the KGB, in central Moscow.
A man walks past the headquarters of the Federal Security Service, the successor agency to the KGB, in central Moscow.
Igor Girkin sits inside a glass defendant’s cage during a hearing to consider a request on his pretrial arrest in Moscow.
Igor Girkin sits inside a glass defendant’s cage during a hearing to consider a request on his pretrial arrest in Moscow.

Putin’s Paranoia Has Turned on Russia’s Far Right

The security state is targeting nationalists like Igor Girkin. This article has an audio recording

Tourists lounge on a beach.
Tourists lounge on a beach.

Sanctions Haven’t Stopped Russians From Having Their Fun in the Sun

Boeing aircraft are still plying tourist routes from Moscow to Turkey, Egypt, and Thailand, and they’re refueling—and possibly getting repairs—en route.

A ship is loaded with Ukrainian wheat at a port on the Black Sea.
A ship is loaded with Ukrainian wheat at a port on the Black Sea.

Russia Declares War on Wheat, Peas, and Barley

Moscow used to bang shoes to get attention. Now it blows up grain warehouses.

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