Russia’s War in Ukraine

News, analysis, and background on military campaigns, battlefield technology, and global diplomacy, negotiations, and sanctions.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and U.S. President Donald Trump participate in a meeting in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and U.S. President Donald Trump participate in a meeting in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C.

7 Lingering Questions After the Trump Ukraine Summit

After a flurry of diplomacy, what was actually agreed to?

U.S. President Donald Trump greets Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at the White House in Washington, DC on August 18.
U.S. President Donald Trump greets Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at the White House in Washington, DC on August 18.

Grading Trump’s Ukraine Diplomacy

Key takeaways from a spate of high-level meetings in Alaska and Washington. This article has an audio recording

(First row, from left) Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, French President Emmanuel Macron, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen pose for a family picture during a “coalition of the willing” summit at the Elysee Palace in Paris on March 27.
(First row, from left) Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, French President Emmanuel Macron, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen pose for a family picture during a “coalition of the willing” summit at the Elysee Palace in Paris on March 27.

How Europe Can Pressure Putin—Without Trump

Now that Trump appears to have sworn off additional economic sanctions to push Russia into a cease-fire, Europe may have to go it alone. This article has an audio recording

Battlefield Strategy

Russian soldiers practice marching
Russian soldiers practice marching

Why Don’t Russian Soldiers Revolt?

Astonishing death rates and brutal abuse have not kept troops from following orders.

Soldiers of the 115th Mechanized Brigade in a house where they are staying when not on the front lines near Lyman, Ukraine.
Soldiers of the 115th Mechanized Brigade in a house where they are staying when not on the front lines near Lyman, Ukraine.

The Mood on the Front Line, Three Years On

Ukrainian troops watch with anxiety as the United States moves closer to talks with Russia over the war.

Volunteers and Ukrainian military personnel attend a presentation about radio electronic warfare and intelligence systems made by the Ukrainian company Kvertus in Ukraine’s Lviv region on May 28.
Volunteers and Ukrainian military personnel attend a presentation about radio electronic warfare and intelligence systems made by the Ukrainian company Kvertus in Ukraine’s Lviv region on May 28.

Ukraine’s Pocket-Sized Answer to Russian Drones

Moscow has the upper hand in electronic warfare. Can grassroots-led efforts help Kyiv catch up?

The first batch of the Ukrainian-made Peklo drone missile is delivered to a Ukrainian Armed Forces facility in Kyiv on Dec. 6, 2024.
The first batch of the Ukrainian-made Peklo drone missile is delivered to a Ukrainian Armed Forces facility in Kyiv on Dec. 6, 2024.

The Ukrainians’ New Way of War

The audacious drone attack deep into Russia’s rear fits a larger pattern of wartime innovation.

Wartime Diplomacy

Trump sits on an upholstered chair in the Oval Office, leaning forward slightly as he rests his hands on his knees. Rutte sits in a matching chair next to him, his hand on his chin. Vice President J.D. Vance and others sit on a sofa to the right, microphones on poles hanging over their heads.
Trump sits on an upholstered chair in the Oval Office, leaning forward slightly as he rests his hands on his knees. Rutte sits in a matching chair next to him, his hand on his chin. Vice President J.D. Vance and others sit on a sofa to the right, microphones on poles hanging over their heads.

Do Trump’s Lines in the Sand Mean Anything?

Blustering threats to Putin over Ukraine are reminiscent of Obama’s Syria failure.

NATO military forces during a display to demonstrate NATO’s ability to rapidly deploy forces from Europe, in Smardan, Romania.
NATO military forces during a display to demonstrate NATO’s ability to rapidly deploy forces from Europe, in Smardan, Romania.

It’s Time for a New Trans-Atlantic Bargain

Europe should take primary responsibility for its security, but the United States needs to deliver key assurances to allow such a transition.

U.S. President Donald Trump announces U.S. strikes on Iran with Vice President J.D. Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth standing alongside, at the White House in Washington on June 21.
U.S. President Donald Trump announces U.S. strikes on Iran with Vice President J.D. Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth standing alongside, at the White House in Washington on June 21.

An Emerging Trump Doctrine?

Success in the Middle East could be a template for a new approach to Russia’s war.

Workers construct an outdoor ice skating rink in Red Square in downtown Moscow on Nov. 9, 2021.
Workers construct an outdoor ice skating rink in Red Square in downtown Moscow on Nov. 9, 2021.

What the Next Round of Sanctions Against Russia Should Look Like

Moscow has successfully restructured its economy on an impressive war footing, but there are weaknesses under the hood. This article has an audio recording

Regional Dynamics

U.S. Marines take part in the international military exercise Cold Response 22 near Sandstrand in northern Norway on March 21, 2022.
U.S. Marines take part in the international military exercise Cold Response 22 near Sandstrand in northern Norway on March 21, 2022.

A Russia-NATO War Would Look Nothing Like Ukraine

Moscow will seek to avoid a full-on war and focus on breaking the bloc’s resolve. This article has an audio recording

People walk along a street past a mural dedicated to Oleksandr Khmil, a former hockey player and coach killed in battle against Russian troops, in Kyiv on May 15.
People walk along a street past a mural dedicated to Oleksandr Khmil, a former hockey player and coach killed in battle against Russian troops, in Kyiv on May 15.
A large ship in the ocean
A large ship in the ocean

What Europe Can Do If Trump Drops Russia Sanctions

Europe has much more economic leverage on the Kremlin than Washington.

A worker in a white fireproof smock and face guard is seen from across a room at a factory as they shovel smoldering coals into a massive metal furnace. The room is dim other than the bright light from the furnace and the scattered glow of coal spread across the floor.
A worker in a white fireproof smock and face guard is seen from across a room at a factory as they shovel smoldering coals into a massive metal furnace. The room is dim other than the bright light from the furnace and the scattered glow of coal spread across the floor.

Ukraine Has Become Europe’s Arsenal

The Ukrainian arms industry has kept its own country—and potentially the entire continent—competitive on the battlefield. This article has an audio recording

Latest Stories

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Secretary General of NATO Jens Stoltenberg shake hands after a joint news conference in Kyiv on April 20.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Secretary General of NATO Jens Stoltenberg shake hands after a joint news conference in Kyiv on April 20.
Ukrainian soldiers fire a M777 howitzer toward Russian positions on the front line in eastern Ukraine.
Ukrainian soldiers fire a M777 howitzer toward Russian positions on the front line in eastern Ukraine.

Biden Set to OK Cluster Munitions for Ukraine

The decision to send the controversial weapons comes after months of knife fights within the U.S. administration.

Russian President Vladimir Putin attends a virtual trilateral meeting to discuss the topic of Syria with the leaders of Iran and Turkey.
Russian President Vladimir Putin attends a virtual trilateral meeting to discuss the topic of Syria with the leaders of Iran and Turkey.

The Wagner Mutiny Could Strengthen Iran in Syria

Putin faces a choice between punishing Prigozhin and ceding influence and territory to Tehran.

Russian military officer Sergei Rudskoy sits below a map of Syria screened during a briefing at the headquarters of the Russian defense ministry in Moscow.
Russian military officer Sergei Rudskoy sits below a map of Syria screened during a briefing at the headquarters of the Russian defense ministry in Moscow.

The Putin-Prigozhin Fight Now Has a Syrian Battlefield

The Kremlin is trying to take control of the Wagner Group’s Middle Eastern empire.

A colorized print depicts Bohemian mercenary General Albrecht Wenzel von Wallenstein, wearing a hat with a feather, thigh-high boots, and lace cuffs and collar as he rides atop a bearded man wearing a tall furry hat as though he were a horse. Marauding soldiers are seen in the background landscape of houses and castles.
A colorized print depicts Bohemian mercenary General Albrecht Wenzel von Wallenstein, wearing a hat with a feather, thigh-high boots, and lace cuffs and collar as he rides atop a bearded man wearing a tall furry hat as though he were a horse. Marauding soldiers are seen in the background landscape of houses and castles.

Prigozhin Should Study Europe’s Greatest Mercenary

Albrecht von Wallenstein was the Holy Roman Empire’s power broker—until he clashed with his superior.

Members of Russia's Wagner Group, including one soldier riding atop a tank, prepare to pull out from the headquarters of the Southern Military District to return to their base in Rostov-on-Don.
Members of Russia's Wagner Group, including one soldier riding atop a tank, prepare to pull out from the headquarters of the Southern Military District to return to their base in Rostov-on-Don.

Is Revolt in Russia Good for America?

The Wagner Group’s short-lived mutiny seems to have weakened Putin—but that isn’t necessarily a win for Washington.

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu walk to watch military exercises in Leningrad oblast.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu walk to watch military exercises in Leningrad oblast.

Adam Tooze: How Putin Overstretched His Military in Ukraine

Last weekend’s mutiny was partly the product of a mismanaged authoritarian state.

A Russian intercontinental ballistic missile that can deliver multiple nuclear warheads sits on a Moscow street during the rehearsal for a Victory Day parade on May 7. A soldier in fatigues stands in the foreground with tall buildings in the distance.
A Russian intercontinental ballistic missile that can deliver multiple nuclear warheads sits on a Moscow street during the rehearsal for a Victory Day parade on May 7. A soldier in fatigues stands in the foreground with tall buildings in the distance.

Russia’s Nukes Are Probably Secure From Rogue Actors

Moscow has a tight command-and-control system—but there’s always a risk.

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping reach out to shake hands, against a backdrop of Russian and Chinese flags, at the Kremlin in Moscow.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping reach out to shake hands, against a backdrop of Russian and Chinese flags, at the Kremlin in Moscow.

Xi’s Schadenfreude Over Moscow’s Mutiny

Xi feels vindicated over Putin’s style of governance—but has made a bad bet on the Russian leader.

A member of the Wagner Group stands guard with a rifle in front of a large stucco building flying a Russian flag against a blue sky. The guard wears a green helmet and uniform along with a camouflage face covering.
A member of the Wagner Group stands guard with a rifle in front of a large stucco building flying a Russian flag against a blue sky. The guard wears a green helmet and uniform along with a camouflage face covering.

Wagner Mutiny Rattles the Kremlin’s War in Ukraine

With its good fighters out of the picture, Russia’s manpower problems get worse.

Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan (left) and Russian President Vladimir Putin arrive at the Commonwealth of Independent States summit in Astana, Kazakhstan.
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan (left) and Russian President Vladimir Putin arrive at the Commonwealth of Independent States summit in Astana, Kazakhstan.

Russia’s Periphery Takes Note of Putin’s Sudden Weakness

In Central Asia and the Caucasus, the Wagner rebellion has exposed Russia’s fragility.

Russian President Vladimir Putin addresses the Russian public, as seen on screens in Moscow on June 24.
Russian President Vladimir Putin addresses the Russian public, as seen on screens in Moscow on June 24.

Putin’s Strongman Image Suddenly Unravels for Russians

His mishandling of the revolt puts him in the spotlight—and Russians don’t like what they see.

Russian President Vladimir Putin, a 70-year-old man wearing a black suit and tie, leans forward with his hands on the table in front of him as he speaks into a microphone.
Russian President Vladimir Putin, a 70-year-old man wearing a black suit and tie, leans forward with his hands on the table in front of him as he speaks into a microphone.

Putin’s Stability Was Always a Myth

Prigozhin’s revolt has exposed the rotten foundations of a mafia state.

Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky is surrounded by by members of Congress as he carries a U.S. flag in a triangular box following his address at the Capitol in Washington on Dec. 21, 2022.
Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky is surrounded by by members of Congress as he carries a U.S. flag in a triangular box following his address at the Capitol in Washington on Dec. 21, 2022.

Congress Presses Biden to Deliver Cluster Munitions to Ukraine

Lawmakers from both parties want Ukraine to have the tools to root out entrenched Russian occupiers.

Russian conscripts attend a religious service.
Russian conscripts attend a religious service.

Wagner’s Revolt May Weaken Russia’s Draft

Conscripts will fear being used as stopgaps in Ukraine.

Russian Army Gen. Lavr Kornilov, in military garb, salutes a row of uniformed passing troops carrying weapons.
Russian Army Gen. Lavr Kornilov, in military garb, salutes a row of uniformed passing troops carrying weapons.

Why Kornilov’s Ghost Haunts Putin

A 1917 attempted coup d’etat is a reminder that even an ineffective mutiny can alter the course of history.

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