Russia’s War in Ukraine

News, analysis, and background on military campaigns, battlefield technology, and global diplomacy, negotiations, and sanctions.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and U.S. President Donald Trump participate in a meeting in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and U.S. President Donald Trump participate in a meeting in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C.

7 Lingering Questions After the Trump Ukraine Summit

After a flurry of diplomacy, what was actually agreed to?

U.S. President Donald Trump greets Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at the White House in Washington, DC on August 18.
U.S. President Donald Trump greets Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at the White House in Washington, DC on August 18.

Grading Trump’s Ukraine Diplomacy

Key takeaways from a spate of high-level meetings in Alaska and Washington. This article has an audio recording

(First row, from left) Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, French President Emmanuel Macron, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen pose for a family picture during a “coalition of the willing” summit at the Elysee Palace in Paris on March 27.
(First row, from left) Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, French President Emmanuel Macron, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen pose for a family picture during a “coalition of the willing” summit at the Elysee Palace in Paris on March 27.

How Europe Can Pressure Putin—Without Trump

Now that Trump appears to have sworn off additional economic sanctions to push Russia into a cease-fire, Europe may have to go it alone. This article has an audio recording

Battlefield Strategy

Russian soldiers practice marching
Russian soldiers practice marching

Why Don’t Russian Soldiers Revolt?

Astonishing death rates and brutal abuse have not kept troops from following orders.

Soldiers of the 115th Mechanized Brigade in a house where they are staying when not on the front lines near Lyman, Ukraine.
Soldiers of the 115th Mechanized Brigade in a house where they are staying when not on the front lines near Lyman, Ukraine.

The Mood on the Front Line, Three Years On

Ukrainian troops watch with anxiety as the United States moves closer to talks with Russia over the war.

Volunteers and Ukrainian military personnel attend a presentation about radio electronic warfare and intelligence systems made by the Ukrainian company Kvertus in Ukraine’s Lviv region on May 28.
Volunteers and Ukrainian military personnel attend a presentation about radio electronic warfare and intelligence systems made by the Ukrainian company Kvertus in Ukraine’s Lviv region on May 28.

Ukraine’s Pocket-Sized Answer to Russian Drones

Moscow has the upper hand in electronic warfare. Can grassroots-led efforts help Kyiv catch up?

The first batch of the Ukrainian-made Peklo drone missile is delivered to a Ukrainian Armed Forces facility in Kyiv on Dec. 6, 2024.
The first batch of the Ukrainian-made Peklo drone missile is delivered to a Ukrainian Armed Forces facility in Kyiv on Dec. 6, 2024.

The Ukrainians’ New Way of War

The audacious drone attack deep into Russia’s rear fits a larger pattern of wartime innovation.

Wartime Diplomacy

Trump sits on an upholstered chair in the Oval Office, leaning forward slightly as he rests his hands on his knees. Rutte sits in a matching chair next to him, his hand on his chin. Vice President J.D. Vance and others sit on a sofa to the right, microphones on poles hanging over their heads.
Trump sits on an upholstered chair in the Oval Office, leaning forward slightly as he rests his hands on his knees. Rutte sits in a matching chair next to him, his hand on his chin. Vice President J.D. Vance and others sit on a sofa to the right, microphones on poles hanging over their heads.

Do Trump’s Lines in the Sand Mean Anything?

Blustering threats to Putin over Ukraine are reminiscent of Obama’s Syria failure.

NATO military forces during a display to demonstrate NATO’s ability to rapidly deploy forces from Europe, in Smardan, Romania.
NATO military forces during a display to demonstrate NATO’s ability to rapidly deploy forces from Europe, in Smardan, Romania.

It’s Time for a New Trans-Atlantic Bargain

Europe should take primary responsibility for its security, but the United States needs to deliver key assurances to allow such a transition.

U.S. President Donald Trump announces U.S. strikes on Iran with Vice President J.D. Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth standing alongside, at the White House in Washington on June 21.
U.S. President Donald Trump announces U.S. strikes on Iran with Vice President J.D. Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth standing alongside, at the White House in Washington on June 21.

An Emerging Trump Doctrine?

Success in the Middle East could be a template for a new approach to Russia’s war.

Workers construct an outdoor ice skating rink in Red Square in downtown Moscow on Nov. 9, 2021.
Workers construct an outdoor ice skating rink in Red Square in downtown Moscow on Nov. 9, 2021.

What the Next Round of Sanctions Against Russia Should Look Like

Moscow has successfully restructured its economy on an impressive war footing, but there are weaknesses under the hood. This article has an audio recording

Regional Dynamics

U.S. Marines take part in the international military exercise Cold Response 22 near Sandstrand in northern Norway on March 21, 2022.
U.S. Marines take part in the international military exercise Cold Response 22 near Sandstrand in northern Norway on March 21, 2022.

A Russia-NATO War Would Look Nothing Like Ukraine

Moscow will seek to avoid a full-on war and focus on breaking the bloc’s resolve. This article has an audio recording

People walk along a street past a mural dedicated to Oleksandr Khmil, a former hockey player and coach killed in battle against Russian troops, in Kyiv on May 15.
People walk along a street past a mural dedicated to Oleksandr Khmil, a former hockey player and coach killed in battle against Russian troops, in Kyiv on May 15.
A large ship in the ocean
A large ship in the ocean

What Europe Can Do If Trump Drops Russia Sanctions

Europe has much more economic leverage on the Kremlin than Washington.

A worker in a white fireproof smock and face guard is seen from across a room at a factory as they shovel smoldering coals into a massive metal furnace. The room is dim other than the bright light from the furnace and the scattered glow of coal spread across the floor.
A worker in a white fireproof smock and face guard is seen from across a room at a factory as they shovel smoldering coals into a massive metal furnace. The room is dim other than the bright light from the furnace and the scattered glow of coal spread across the floor.

Ukraine Has Become Europe’s Arsenal

The Ukrainian arms industry has kept its own country—and potentially the entire continent—competitive on the battlefield. This article has an audio recording

Latest Stories

An illustration showing a torn Russian flag and Russian President Vladimir Putin.
An illustration showing a torn Russian flag and Russian President Vladimir Putin.

It’s High Time to Prepare for Russia’s Collapse

Not planning for the possibility of disintegration betrays a dangerous lack of imagination. This article has an audio recording

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi hold a meeting.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi hold a meeting.

Iran and Russia Are Closer Than Ever Before

They’ve found common ground on the battlefield in Ukraine, but not everyone in Tehran is happy about it.

A Panzerhaubitze 2000 tank howitzer fires during a mission in Ukraine’s Donetsk region.
A Panzerhaubitze 2000 tank howitzer fires during a mission in Ukraine’s Donetsk region.
Ukrainian service members fire on Russian positions.
Ukrainian service members fire on Russian positions.

Ukraine Needs Long-Range Firepower for Victory

Kyiv’s allies should give it the ability to shift strategic gears.

Pedestrians stand next to a New Year's decoration stylized as the "Kremlin Star," bearing a letter "Z," a tactical insignia of Russian troops in Ukraine, in Moscow.
Pedestrians stand next to a New Year's decoration stylized as the "Kremlin Star," bearing a letter "Z," a tactical insignia of Russian troops in Ukraine, in Moscow.

Russia Is Afraid of Western Psychic Attacks

Pseudoscience and mysticism are common among the Moscow elite.

Ukrainian soldiers ride a tank in an undisclosed location in eastern Ukraine.
Ukrainian soldiers ride a tank in an undisclosed location in eastern Ukraine.

Peace May Be a Long Way Off in Ukraine in 2023

Both sides believe they can win on the battlefield.

Ukrainian soldiers load a truck with a U.S.-made FGM-148 Javelin anti-tank missile on its delivery.
Ukrainian soldiers load a truck with a U.S.-made FGM-148 Javelin anti-tank missile on its delivery.

The Arsenal of Democracy Is Back in Business

Proposed U.S. arms sales to NATO almost doubled this past year as Russia’s aggression spooked the continent.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz briefs the press on Russia's invasion of Ukraine at the German Chancellery in Berlin on Feb. 24.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz briefs the press on Russia's invasion of Ukraine at the German Chancellery in Berlin on Feb. 24.

Why Germany Has Learned the Wrong Lessons From History

On Russia and Ukraine, Germans remain wedded to historical and geopolitical delusions.

People holding candles form a large, glowing peace sign at night in a grand plaza.
People holding candles form a large, glowing peace sign at night in a grand plaza.

Will 2023 Be More Peaceful Than 2022?

This year saw Russia invade Ukraine, China’s Xi Jinping secure a third term, and Iranians take to the streets. What will 2023 look like?

Yevgeny Prigozhin attends a meeting with foreign investors in Russia.
Yevgeny Prigozhin attends a meeting with foreign investors in Russia.

Putin’s Pit Bull Is Making a Power Play

As hard-liners shuffle for power amid a failing war, Russia’s military could turn even more aggressive.

A member of the Ukrainian State Border Guard stands watch at the border crossing between Ukraine and Belarus on February 13, 2022 in Vilcha, Ukraine.
A member of the Ukrainian State Border Guard stands watch at the border crossing between Ukraine and Belarus on February 13, 2022 in Vilcha, Ukraine.

Belarus Is Inching Toward Invading Ukraine

Signs are growing that an invasion from the north could be imminent.

A rescuer walks through rubble in Ukraine.
A rescuer walks through rubble in Ukraine.
Russian President Vladimir Putin flies on a helicopter to visit a military outpost in Nalchik, Russia.
Russian President Vladimir Putin flies on a helicopter to visit a military outpost in Nalchik, Russia.

Whatever Happened to Russia’s Vaunted Cyberoffensive?

The war in Ukraine is more about artillery shells than cyberexploits—for now.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen holds a press conference about Russia sanctions at EU headquarters in Brussels on Sept. 28.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen holds a press conference about Russia sanctions at EU headquarters in Brussels on Sept. 28.

Why the Oil Price Cap Won’t Hurt Putin

The West wants to have its Russian oil price cake and eat it too.

Yale University historian Timothy Snyder speaks at an event in Warsaw, Poland on May 10, 2019.
Yale University historian Timothy Snyder speaks at an event in Warsaw, Poland on May 10, 2019.

The Trouble With Russian Blacklisting

Moscow’s ban on Western academics and researchers makes the world a more dangerous place.

The Russian Foreign Ministry building
The Russian Foreign Ministry building

The Russian Army Is Preparing for a Fresh Attack

Many of the problems from the initial draft have been solved.

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